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Robust Multiyear Climate Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions in Decadal Prediction Systems 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (9)
作者:  Hermanson, Leon;  Bilbao, Roberto;  Dunstone, Nick;  Menegoz, Martin;  Ortega, Pablo;  Pohlmann, Holger;  Robson, Jon, I;  Smith, Doug M.;  Strand, Gary;  Timmreck, Claudia;  Yeager, Steve;  Danabasoglu, Gokhan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
climate  volcano  coupled model  NAO  ENSO  
Skilful Real-Time Seasonal Forecasts of the Dry Northern European Summer 2018 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Hardiman, Steven;  Eade, Rosie;  Gordon, Margaret;  Hermanson, Leon;  Kay, Gillian;  Scaife, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
seasonal prediction  European  rainfall  summer  North Atlantic  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2585-2596
作者:  Thompson, Vikki;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Smith, Doug M.;  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Lu, Bo;  Belcher, Stephen E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Unprecedented extremes  Climate risks  Silk Road Pattern  China  Hot summers  
Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (2) : 974-988
作者:  Scaife, Adam A.;  Ferranti, Laura;  Alves, Oscar;  Athanasiadis, Panos;  Baehr, Johanna;  Deque, Michel;  Dippe, Tina;  Dunstone, Nick;  Fereday, David;  Gudgel, Richard G.;  Greatbatch, Richard J.;  Hermanson, Leon;  Imada, Yukiko;  Jain, Shipra;  Kumar, Arun;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Merryfield, William;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug;  Takaya, Yuhei;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble  ENSO  NAO  PNA  seasona prediction  tropical rainfall  
An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 89-100
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Wu, Jie;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Wan, Jianghua;  Eade, Rosie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Gordon, Margaret
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian Ocean Dipole  Air-sea interaction  East African drought  Seasonal prediction  
Background levels of methane in Mars' atmosphere show strong seasonal variations 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2018, 360 (6393) : 1093-+
作者:  Webster, Christopher R.;  Mahaffy, Paul R.;  Atreya, Sushil K.;  Moores, John E.;  Flesch, Gregory J.;  Malespin, Charles;  McKay, Christopher P.;  Martinez, German;  Smith, Christina L.;  Martin-Torres, Javier;  Gomez-Elvira, Javier;  Zorzano, Maria-Paz;  Wong, Michael H.;  Trainer, Melissa G.;  Steele, Andrew;  Archer, Doug, Jr.;  Sutter, Brad;  Coll, Patrice J.;  Freissinet, Caroline;  Meslin, Pierre-Yves;  Gough, Raina V.;  House, Christopher H.;  Pavlov, Alexander;  Eigenbrode, Jennifer L.;  Glavin, Daniel P.;  Pearson, John C.;  Keymeulen, Didier;  Christensen, Lance E.;  Schwenzer, Susanne P.;  Navarro-Gonzalez, Rafael;  Pla-Garcia, Jorge;  Rafkin, Scot C. R.;  Vicente-Retortillo, Alvaro;  Kahanpaa, Henrik;  Viudez-Moreiras, Daniel;  Smith, Michael D.;  Harri, Ari-Matti;  Genzer, Maria;  Hassler, Donald M.;  Lemmon, Mark;  Crisp, Joy;  Sander, Stanley P.;  Zurek, Richard W.;  Vasavada, Ashwin R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmospheric response to Arctic and Antarctic sea ice: The importance of ocean-atmosphere coupling and the background state (vol 30, pg 4547, 2017) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (12) : 4963-4964
作者:  Smith, Doug M.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Fiedler, Emma K.;  Copsey, Dan;  Hardiman, Steven C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Consistency and discrepancy in the atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice loss across climate models 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2018, 11 (3) : 155-+
作者:  Screen, James A.;  Deser, Clara;  Smith, Doug M.;  Zhang, Xiangdong;  Blackport, Russell;  Kushner, Paul J.;  Oudar, Thomas;  McCusker, Kelly E.;  Sun, Lantao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
The asymmetric response of Yangtze river basin summer rainfall to El Nino/La Nina 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (2)
作者:  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug M.;  Stephan, Claudia C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
seasonal forecasting  Yangtze basin rainfall  ENSO  asymmetric rainfall response  Indian Ocean