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科学家成功开发首个泛北极全年海冰厚度数据集 快报文章
地球科学快报,2022年第18期
作者:  刘文浩
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:609/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/25
Arctic  sea-ice  dataset  
研究发现美国西部野火产生的烟雾会影响北极海冰 快报文章
地球科学快报,2022年第15期
作者:  王立伟
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:613/0  |  提交时间:2022/08/10
Wildfire  Arctic sea ice  loss  
CRS发布《北极的变化:背景与问题》报告 快报文章
地球科学快报,2021年第18期
作者:  刘学
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:714/1  |  提交时间:2021/09/24
Arctic  Climate Change  sea ice  
亚季节性到季节性的北极海冰预测仍为重大挑战 快报文章
地球科学快报,2021年第9期
作者:  王立伟
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:419/1  |  提交时间:2021/05/08
Arctic sea-ice  prediction  
Ice retreat in Wilkes Basin of East Antarctica during a warm interglacial 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7817) : 554-+
作者:  T. Blackburn;  G. H. Edwards;  S. Tulaczyk;  M. Scudder;  G. Piccione;  B. Hallet;  N. McLean;  J. C. Zachos;  B. Cheney;  J. T. Babbe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

Uranium isotopes in subglacial precipitates from the Wilkes Basin of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet reveal ice retreat during a warm Pleistocene interglacial period about 400,000 years ago.


Efforts to improve sea level forecasting on a warming planet have focused on determining the temperature, sea level and extent of polar ice sheets during Earth'  s past interglacial warm periods(1-3). About 400,000 years ago, during the interglacial period known as Marine Isotopic Stage 11 (MIS11), the global temperature was 1 to 2 degrees Celsius greater(2)and sea level was 6 to 13 metres higher(1,3). Sea level estimates in excess of about 10 metres, however, have been discounted because these require a contribution from the East Antarctic Ice Sheet(3), which has been argued to have remained stable for millions of years before and includes MIS11(4,5). Here we show how the evolution of(234)U enrichment within the subglacial waters of East Antarctica recorded the ice sheet'  s response to MIS11 warming. Within the Wilkes Basin, subglacial chemical precipitates of opal and calcite record accumulation of(234)U (the product of rock-water contact within an isolated subglacial reservoir) up to 20 times higher than that found in marine waters. The timescales of(234)U enrichment place the inception of this reservoir at MIS11. Informed by the(234)U cycling observed in the Laurentide Ice Sheet, where(234)U accumulated during periods of ice stability(6)and was flushed to global oceans in response to deglaciation(7), we interpret our East Antarctic dataset to represent ice loss within the Wilkes Basin at MIS11. The(234)U accumulation within the Wilkes Basin is also observed in the McMurdo Dry Valleys brines(8-10), indicating(11)that the brine originated beneath the adjacent East Antarctic Ice Sheet. The marine origin of brine salts(10)and bacteria(12)implies that MIS11 ice loss was coupled with marine flooding. Collectively, these data indicate that during one of the warmest Pleistocene interglacials, the ice sheet margin at the Wilkes Basin retreated to near the precipitate location, about 700 kilometres inland from the current position of the ice margin, which-assuming current ice volumes-would have contributed about 3 to 4 metres(13)to global sea levels.


  
Timing and magnitude of Southern Ocean sea ice/carbon cycle feedbacks 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (9) : 4498-4504
作者:  Stein, Karl;  Timmermann, Axel;  Kwon, Eun Young;  Friedrich, Tobias
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Southern Ocean  sea ice  glacial cycles  carbon cycle  
Preindustrial (CH4)-C-14 indicates greater anthropogenic fossil CH4 emissions 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7795) : 409-+
作者:  Keener, Megan;  Hunt, Camden;  Carroll, Timothy G.;  Kampel, Vladimir;  Dobrovetsky, Roman;  Hayton, Trevor W.;  Menard, Gabriel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Atmospheric methane (CH4) is a potent greenhouse gas, and its mole fraction has more than doubled since the preindustrial era(1). Fossil fuel extraction and use are among the largest anthropogenic sources of CH4 emissions, but the precise magnitude of these contributions is a subject of debate(2,3). Carbon-14 in CH4 ((CH4)-C-14) can be used to distinguish between fossil (C-14-free) CH4 emissions and contemporaneous biogenic sources  however, poorly constrained direct (CH4)-C-14 emissions from nuclear reactors have complicated this approach since the middle of the 20th century(4,5). Moreover, the partitioning of total fossil CH4 emissions (presently 172 to 195 teragrams CH4 per year)(2,3) between anthropogenic and natural geological sources (such as seeps and mud volcanoes) is under debate  emission inventories suggest that the latter account for about 40 to 60 teragrams CH4 per year(6,7). Geological emissions were less than 15.4 teragrams CH4 per year at the end of the Pleistocene, about 11,600 years ago(8), but that period is an imperfect analogue for present-day emissions owing to the large terrestrial ice sheet cover, lower sea level and extensive permafrost. Here we use preindustrial-era ice core (CH4)-C-14 measurements to show that natural geological CH4 emissions to the atmosphere were about 1.6 teragrams CH4 per year, with a maximum of 5.4 teragrams CH4 per year (95 per cent confidence limit)-an order of magnitude lower than the currently used estimates. This result indicates that anthropogenic fossil CH4 emissions are underestimated by about 38 to 58 teragrams CH4 per year, or about 25 to 40 per cent of recent estimates. Our record highlights the human impact on the atmosphere and climate, provides a firm target for inventories of the global CH4 budget, and will help to inform strategies for targeted emission reductions(9,10).


Isotopic evidence from ice cores indicates that preindustrial-era geological methane emissions were lower than previously thought, suggesting that present-day emissions of methane from fossil fuels are underestimated.


  
Influence of Arctic sea-ice variability on Pacific trade winds 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (6) : 2824-2834
作者:  Kennel, Charles F.;  Yulaeva, Elena
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Arctic sea ice  decadal variability  Pacific trade winds  Central Pacific El Nino  Aleutian Low  
A Nonlinear Theory of Atmospheric Blocking: An Application to Greenland Blocking Changes Linked to Winter Arctic Sea Ice Loss 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 723-751
作者:  Zhang, Wenqi;  Luo, Dehai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Sea ice  Blocking  Cold air surges  Nonlinear dynamics  North Atlantic Oscillation  Potential vorticity  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.