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Occurrence and impacts of tropical cyclones over the southern South China Sea 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Shi, Yanping;  Du, Yan;  Chen, Zesheng;  Zhou, Wen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  genesis potential index  relative vorticity  southern South China Sea  steering flow  tropical cyclones  
Interbasin Differences in the Median and Variability of Tropical Cyclone MPI in the Northern Hemisphere 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (24) : 13714-13730
作者:  Xu, Jing;  Wang, Yuqing;  Yang, Chi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Tropical Cyclones  Maximum potential intensity  Median and Variability  Inter-basin Differences  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Prioritizing road defragmentation using graph-based tools 期刊论文
LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING, 2019, 192
作者:  Ascensao, Fernando;  Mestre, Frederico;  Marcia Barbosa, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Carnivore conservation  Landscape connectivity  Linear infrastructures  Potential Biodiversity  Road mitigation  Spatial graphs  
An Updated Analysis of Northern Hemisphere Submonthly Retrograde Waves 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (12) : 3941-3954
作者:  Raghunathan, Girish Nigamanth;  Huang, Huei-Ping
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmospheric circulation  Potential vorticity  Rossby waves  
Episodic Extrema of Surface Stress Energy Input to the Western Arctic Ocean Contributed to Step Changes of Freshwater Content in the Beaufort Gyre 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (21) : 12173-12182
作者:  Zhong, Wenli;  Zhang, Jinlun;  Steele, Michael;  Zhao, Jinping;  Wang, Tao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Beaufort Gyre  surface stress energy input  freshwater content  mechanical energy partition  potential energy  kinetic energy  
Diagnostics of westward propagating East Asian monsoon low-pressure systems that reach the Indian monsoon region 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Shi, Xiaohui;  Kiladis, George;  Wen, Min
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
East Asian monsoon low pressure system  India monsoon region  Potential vorticity (PV)  PV budget  
A substantial rise in the area and population affected by dryness in South Asia under 1.5 C, 2.0 C and 2.5 C warmer worlds 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (11)
作者:  Aadhar, Saran;  Mishra, Vimal
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
aridity  South Asia  CMIP5  potential evapotranspiration  climate change  CRU  
Drought tolerance of a Pinus palustris plantation 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 451
作者:  Samuelson, Lisa J.;  Stokes, Tom A.;  Ramirez, Michael R.;  Mendonca, Caren C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Longleaf pine  Throughfall exclusion  Leaf water potential  Transpiration  Canopy stomatal conductance  Sapwood area to leaf area ratio  Growth