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The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850-2075) 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Le Noe, J.;  Roux, N.;  Billen, G.;  Gingrich, S.;  Erb, K. -H.;  Krausmann, F.;  Thieu, V;  Silvestre, M.;  Garnier, J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
phosphorus  legacy  agriculture  modelling  trajectories  scenario  
Global rangeland production systems and livelihoods at threat under climate change and variability 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (4)
作者:  Godde, C. M.;  Boone, R. B.;  Ash, A. J.;  Waha, K.;  Sloat, L. L.;  Thornton, P. K.;  Herrero, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
livestock  climate change  climate variability  modelling  vulnerability  grasslands  cattle  
Allocating planetary boundaries to large economies: Distributional consequences of alternative perspectives on distributive fairness 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2020, 60
作者:  Lucas, Paul L.;  Wilting, Harry C.;  Hof, Andries F.;  van Vuuren, Detlef P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Planetary boundaries  MRIO modelling  Environmental footprints  Budget allocation  Equity  
Last appearance of Homo erectus at Ngandong, Java, 117,000-108,000 years ago 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7790) : 381-+
作者:  Haldane, Andy
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Homo erectus is the founding early hominin species of Island Southeast Asia, and reached Java (Indonesia) more than 1.5 million years ago(1,2). Twelve H. erectus calvaria (skull caps) and two tibiae (lower leg bones) were discovered from a bone bed located about 20 m above the Solo River at Ngandong (Central Java) between 1931 and 1933(3,4), and are of the youngest, most-advanced form of H. erectus(5-8). Despite the importance of the Ngandong fossils, the relationship between the fossils, terrace fill and ages have been heavily debated(9-14). Here, to resolve the age of the Ngandong evidence, we use Bayesian modelling of 52 radiometric age estimates to establish-to our knowledg-the first robust chronology at regional, valley and local scales. We used uranium-series dating of speleothems to constrain regional landscape evolution  luminescence, (40)argon/(39)argon (Ar-40/Ar-39) and uranium-series dating to constrain the sequence of terrace evolution  and applied uranium-series and uranium series-electron-spin resonance (US-ESR) dating to non-human fossils to directly date our re-excavation of Ngandong(5,15). We show that at least by 500 thousand years ago (ka) the Solo River was diverted into the Kendeng Hills, and that it formed the Solo terrace sequence between 316 and 31 ka and the Ngandong terrace between about 140 and 92 ka. Non-human fossils recovered during the re-excavation of Ngandong date to between 109 and 106 ka (uranium-series minimum)(16) and 134 and 118 ka (US-ESR), with modelled ages of 117 to 108 thousand years (kyr) for the H. erectus bone bed, which accumulated during flood conditions(3,17). These results negate the extreme ages that have been proposed for the site and solidify Ngandong as the last known occurrence of this long-lived species.


  
Climate change and variability impacts on grazing herds: Insights from a system dynamics approach for semi-arid Australian rangelands 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 3091-3109
作者:  Godde, Cecile;  Dizyee, Kanar;  Ash, Andrew;  Thornton, Philip;  Sloat, Lindsey;  Roura, Eugeni;  Henderson, Benjamin;  Herrero, Mario
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  climate variability  grasslands  greenhouse gas emissions  intensification  livestock modelling  system dynamics  vulnerability  
Integrated policy assessment and optimisation over multiple sustainable development goals in Eastern Africa 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (9)
作者:  Van de ven, Dirk-Jan;  Sampedro, Jon;  Johnson, Francis X.;  Bailis, Rob;  Forouli, Aikaterini;  Nikas, Alexandros;  Yu, Sha;  Pardo, Guillermo;  Garcia de Jalon, Silvestre;  Wise, Marshall;  Doukas, Haris
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
sustainable development goals  climate policy  integrated assessment modelling  clean cooking stoves  energy access  household air pollution  climate finance  
Asset stranding in natural gas export facilities: An agent-based simulation 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2019, 132: 132-155
作者:  Guo, Yingjian;  Hawkes, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Agent-based modelling  Natural gas asset stranding  Contract-driven investment  Spot trade simulation  Market signalling  Investors'  responses to markets  
Guiding seed source selection for the production of tropical dry forest trees: Coulteria platyloba as study model 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 446: 105-114
作者:  Luna-Nieves, Adriana L.;  Meave, Jorge A.;  Gonzalez, Edgar J.;  Cortes-Flores, Jorge;  Ibarra-Manriquez, Guillermo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Germination  Parental tree  Phenotypic variation  Piecewise structural equation modelling  Provenance  Reforestation  Restoration  Seed scarification  Seed supply  Seedling quality  
Why fully liberalised electricity markets will fail to meet deep decarbonisation targets even with strong carbon pricing 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2019, 131: 99-110
作者:  Kraan, Oscar;  Kramer, Gert Jan;  Nikolic, Igor;  Chappin, Emile;  Koning, Vinzenz
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Investor behaviour  Electricity market design  Agent-based modelling  Storage  Flexibility  Sustainability  
Projections of declining fluvial sediment delivery to major deltas worldwide in response to climate change and anthropogenic stress 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (8)
作者:  Dunn, Frances E.;  Darby, Stephen E.;  Nicholls, Robert J.;  Cohen, Sagy;  Zarfl, Christiane;  Fekete, Balazs M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
deltas  fluvial sediment  hydrogeomorphic modelling