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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Importance and vulnerability of the world's water towers 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7790) : 364-+
作者:  Krebs, John R.;  Hassell, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:49/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Mountains are the water towers of the world, supplying a substantial part of both natural and anthropogenic water demands(1,2). They are highly sensitive and prone to climate change(3,4), yet their importance and vulnerability have not been quantified at the global scale. Here we present a global water tower index (WTI), which ranks all water towers in terms of their water-supplying role and the downstream dependence of ecosystems and society. For each water tower, we assess its vulnerability related to water stress, governance, hydropolitical tension and future climatic and socioeconomic changes. We conclude that the most important (highest WTI) water towers are also among the most vulnerable, and that climatic and socio-economic changes will affect them profoundly. This could negatively impact 1.9 billion people living in (0.3 billion) or directly downstream of (1.6 billion) mountainous areas. Immediate action is required to safeguard the future of the world'  s most important and vulnerable water towers.


  
Simulation of the projected climate change impacts on the river flow regimes under CMIP5 RCP scenarios in the westerlies dominated belt, northern Pakistan 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 227: 233-248
作者:  Anjum, Muhammad Naveed;  Ding, Yongjian;  Shangguan, Donghui
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Climate change  Northern Pakistan  SWAT model  Global climate models  Representative concentration pathways  Atmosphere  
Resolving the weakening of orographic rainfall over India using a regional climate model RegCM 4.5 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 227: 125-139
作者:  Abish, B.;  Arun, K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
RegCM 4.5  Orographic rainfall  Indian summer monsoon  Climate change  Sulfate aerosols  
Long-term changes in precipitation phase in Europe in cold half year 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 227: 79-88
作者:  Hyncica, Martin;  Huth, Radan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:53/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Precipitation phase  Trends  Temperature  Europe  Climate change  
A Conceptual Spectral Plume Model for Understanding Tropical Temperature Profile and Convective Updraft Velocities 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (9) : 2801-2814
作者:  Zhou, Wenyu;  Xie, Shang-Ping
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Convection  Instability  Extreme events  Radiative-convective equilibrium  CAPE  Climate change  
South Asian perspective on temperature and rainfall extremes: A review 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 225: 110-120
作者:  Naveendrakumar, G.;  Vithanage, Meththika;  Kwon, Hyun-Han;  Chandrasekara, S. S. K.;  Iqbal, M. C. M.;  Pathmarajah, S.;  Fernando, W. C. D. K.;  Obeysekera, Jayantha
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Climate change  Extreme event  Heatwave  Intense rainfall  Teleconnection  
Changing characteristics of meteorological droughts in Nigeria during 1901-2010 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 223: 60-73
作者:  Shiru, Mohammed Sanusi;  Shahid, Shamsuddin;  Chung, Eun-Sung;  Alias, Noraliani
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal droughts  Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index  Modified Mann-Kendall trend  Climate change  Nigeria  
Potential Vorticity Diagnostics to Quantify Effects of Latent Heating in Extratropical Cyclones. Part II: Application to Idealized Climate Change Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (7) : 1885-1902
作者:  Bueeler, Dominik;  Pfahl, Stephan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Extratropical cyclones  Potential vorticity  Climate change  Latent heating  cooling  General circulation models  Mesoscale models  
Changes in precipitation extremes in the Beijing metropolitan area during 1960-2012 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 222: 134-153
作者:  Song, Xiaomeng;  Zhang, Jianyun;  Zou, Xianju;  Zhang, Chunhua;  AghaKouchak, Amir;  Kong, Fanzhe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Extreme precipitation  Entropy-based method  Climate change  Urban effect  Wavelet transform coherence method  Beijing area