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ENSO-based predictability of a regional severe thunderstorm index 期刊论文
Geophysical Research Letters, 2021
作者:  Michael K. Tippett;  Chiara Lepore
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/07
Enhancing Subseasonal Temperature Prediction by Bridging a Statistical Model with Dynamical Arctic Oscillation Forecasting 期刊论文
Geophysical Research Letters, 2021
作者:  Minju Kim;  Changhyun Yoo;  Jung Choi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2021/08/10
On the interpretation of seasonal Southern Africa precipitation prediction skill estimates during Austral summer 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6769-6783
作者:  Hoell, Andrew;  Eischeid, Jon
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6947-6960
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Tang, Youmin;  Yang, Dejian;  Cheng, Yanjie;  Song, Xunshu;  Hou, Zhaolu;  Shen, Zheqi;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Wu, Yanling;  Li, Xiaojing;  Zhang, Banglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO ensemble forecast  Predictability  Nonlinear monotonic relationship  
Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Brunner, Lukas;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Zumwald, Marius;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
model weighting  climate models  CMIP5  Europe  EUCP  temperature  precipitation  
Assessing the fidelity of predictability estimates 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7251-7265
作者:  Pegion, Kathy;  DelSole, Timothy;  Becker, Emily;  Cicerone, Teresa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Predictability  NMME  
Decadal predictability of temperature and precipitation means and extremes in a perfect-model experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3711-3729
作者:  Liu, Yiling;  Donat, Markus G.;  Rust, Henning W.;  Alexander, Lisa V.;  England, Matthew H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Climate prediction  Predictability  Precipitation  Temperature  Climate extremes  Perfect model  CMIP5  
Potential predictability of Arabian peninsula summer surface air temperature in the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4249-4266
作者:  Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar;  Kucharski, Fred;  Almazroui, Mansour;  Ismail, Muhammad;  Tippett, Michael K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arabian peninsula  Saudi Arabia  Hajj  Air temperature  JJA  NMME  Potential predictability  Atlantic Ocean  
Tropical and Midlatitude Impact on Seasonal Polar Predictability in the Community Earth System Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (18) : 5997-6014
作者:  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Ding, Qinghua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere  Sea ice  Seasonal forecasting  General circulation models  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification