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Grants will help scientists probe droughts, model fisheries 新闻
来源平台:National Center of Atmospheric Research. 发布日期:2020
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/28
Stable machine-learning parameterization of subgrid processes for climate modeling at a range of resolutions 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Yuval, Janni;  39;Gorman, Paul A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/06
Causal networks for climate model evaluation and constrained projections 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Nowack, Peer;  Runge, Jakob;  Eyring, Veronika;  Haigh, Joanna D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
The typhoon-induced drying of the Maritime Continent 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (8) : 3983-3988
作者:  Scoccimarro, Enrico;  Gualdi, Silvio;  Bellucci, Alessio;  Peano, Daniele;  Cherchi, Annalisa;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.;  Navarra, Antonio
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
typhoon  maritime continent  precipitation  tropical cyclone  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Tropical cyclone activity affected by volcanically induced ITCZ shifts 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (16) : 7732-7737
作者:  Pausata, Francesco S. R.;  Camargo, Suzana J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
tropical cyclones  ITCZ  ENSO  
Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (39) : 9684-9689
作者:  Rasp, Stephan;  Pritchard, Michael S.;  Gentine, Pierre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate modeling  deep learning  subgrid parameterization  convection  
Strong control of Southern Ocean cloud reflectivity by ice-nucleating particles 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (11) : 2687-2692
作者:  Vergara-Temprado, Jesus;  Miltenberger, Annette K.;  Furtado, Kalli;  Grosvenor, Daniel P.;  Shipway, Ben J.;  Hill, Adrian A.;  Wilkinson, Jonathan M.;  Field, Paul R.;  Murray, Benjamin J.;  Carslaw, Ken S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ice nucleation  clouds  Southern Ocean  mixed-phase  microphysics  
Early 20th-century Arctic warming intensified by Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (24) : 6227-6232
作者:  Tokinaga, Hiroki;  Xie, Shang-Ping;  Mukougawa, Hitoshi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
early 20th-century Arctic warming  Pacific decadal variability  Atlantic multidecadal variability  ocean-atmosphere interaction  climate variability  
Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (19) : 4881-4886
作者:  Diffenbaugh, Noah S.;  Singh, Deepti;  Mankin, Justin S.;  Horton, Daniel E.;  Swain, Daniel L.;  Touma, Danielle;  Charland, Allison;  Liu, Yunjie;  Haugen, Matz;  Tsiang, Michael;  Rajaratnam, Bala
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
event attribution  climate extremes  climate change  global warming