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ECMWF scientists show latest research at EGU General Assembly 新闻
来源平台:European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 发布日期:2021
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2021/05/21
Estimation of carbonate stratal completeness via stratigraphic forward modeling 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert. 发布日期:2020
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/22
Stochastic Variability of Tropical Cyclone Intensity at the Maximum Potential Intensity Equilibrium 期刊论文
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020
作者:  Nguyen, Phuong;  Kieu, Chanh;  Fan, Wai-Tong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/08
How to improve climate modeling and prediction 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert. 发布日期:2020
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09
Four-dimensional surface motions of the Slumgullion landslide and quantification of hydrometeorological forcing 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Hu, Xie;  Buergmann, Roland;  Schulz, William H.;  Fielding, Eric J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
Seasonal hysteresis of surface urban heat islands 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (13) : 7082-7089
作者:  Manoli, Gabriele;  Fatichi, Simone;  Bou-Zeid, Elie;  Katul, Gabriel G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
cities  hysteresis  seasonality  surface temperature  urban heat island  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
EC-Earth hones Earth system model for climate predictions and projections 新闻
来源平台:European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/06/21
Annual Seminar puts spotlight on Earth system data assimilation 新闻
来源平台:European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 发布日期:2018
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/16