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Predictability Horizons in the Global Carbon Cycle Inferred From a Perfect-Model Framework 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Spring, Aaron;  Ilyina, Tatiana
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
decadal predictability  atmospheric CO2  carbon fluxes  internal variability  Earth System Model  
Simple Adaptive Rules Describe Fishing Behaviour Better than Perfect Rationality in the US West Coast Groundfish Fishery 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 169
作者:  Carrella, Ernesto;  Saul, Steven;  Marshal, Kristin;  Burgess, Matthew G.;  Cabral, Reniel B.;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Dorsett, Chris;  Drexler, Michael;  Madsen, Jens Koed;  Merkl, Andreas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
On the limit to the accuracy of regional-scale air quality models 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (3) : 1627-1639
作者:  Rao, S. Trivikrama;  Luo, Huiying;  Astitha, Marina;  Hogrefe, Christian;  Garcia, Valerie;  Mathur, Rohit
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Reply to "Comments on 'What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?'" 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 787-793
作者:  Sun, Y. Qiang;  Zhang, Fuqing;  Magnusson, Linus;  Buizza, Roberto;  Chen, Jan-Huey;  Emanuel, Kerry
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Error analysis  Forecasting  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Operational forecasting  Ensembles  Model errors  
A Modeling- and Process-Oriented Study to Investigate the Projected Change of ENSO-Forced Wintertime Teleconnectivity in a Warmer World 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8047-8068
作者:  Drouard, Marie;  Cassou, Christophe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Teleconnections  Climate change  
On the interpretation of seasonal Southern Africa precipitation prediction skill estimates during Austral summer 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6769-6783
作者:  Hoell, Andrew;  Eischeid, Jon
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6947-6960
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Tang, Youmin;  Yang, Dejian;  Cheng, Yanjie;  Song, Xunshu;  Hou, Zhaolu;  Shen, Zheqi;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Wu, Yanling;  Li, Xiaojing;  Zhang, Banglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO ensemble forecast  Predictability  Nonlinear monotonic relationship  
Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Brunner, Lukas;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Zumwald, Marius;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
model weighting  climate models  CMIP5  Europe  EUCP  temperature  precipitation  
Assessing the fidelity of predictability estimates 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7251-7265
作者:  Pegion, Kathy;  DelSole, Timothy;  Becker, Emily;  Cicerone, Teresa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Predictability  NMME  
Copula Theory as a Generalized Framework for Flow-Duration Curve Based Streamflow Estimates in Ungaged and Partially Gaged Catchments 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Worland, Scott. C.;  Steinschneider, Scott;  Farmer, William;  Asquith, William;  Knight, Rodney
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
copulas  flow-duration curves  streamflow estimation  QPPQ  regionalization  PUB