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Comparison and Verification of Point-Wise and Patch-Wise Localized Probability-Matched Mean Algorithms for Ensemble Consensus Precipitation Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Snook, Nathan;  Kong, Fanyou;  Clark, Adam;  Roberts, Brett;  Brewster, Keith A.;  Xue, Ming
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/01
Forecast-Oriented Assessment of Decadal Hindcast Skill for North Atlantic SST 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Borchert, Leonard F.;  Duesterhus, Andre;  Brune, Sebastian;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Baehr, Johanna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
decadal climate prediction  North Atlantic  ocean heat transport  forecast verification  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5363-5379
作者:  Kamarainen, Matti;  Uotila, Petteri;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Lehtonen, Ilari;  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Europe  Principal components analysis  Forecast verification  skill  Seasonal forecasting  Statistical forecasting  Decadal variability  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification  
Assessment of Storm Wind Speed Prediction Using Gridded Bayesian Regression Applied to Historical Events With NCAR's Real-Time Ensemble Forecast System 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (16) : 9241-9261
作者:  Yang, Jaemo;  Astitha, Marina;  Schwartz, Craig S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Constraining the Large-Scale Analysis of a Regional Rapid-Update-Cycle System for Short-Term Convective Precipitation Forecasting 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (13) : 6949-6965
作者:  Tang, Xiaowen;  Sun, Juanzhen;  Zhang, Ying;  Tong, Wenxue
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Multi-model skill assessment of seasonal temperature and precipitation forecasts over Europe 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4207-4225
作者:  Mishra, Niti;  Prodhomme, Chloe;  Guemas, Virginie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Seasonal climate forecast  Probability Ensemble Forecast  Weighted Multi-Model  Forecast Verification  
How Well Does an FV3-Based Model Predict Precipitation at a Convection-Allowing Resolution? Results From CAPS Forecasts for the 2018 NOAA Hazardous Weather Test Bed With Different Physics Combinations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (6) : 3523-3531
作者:  Zhang, Chunxi;  Xue, Ming;  Supinie, Timothy A.;  Kong, Fanyou;  Snook, Nathan;  Thomas, Kevin W.;  Brewster, Keith;  Jung, Youngsun;  Harris, Lucas M.;  Lin, Shian-Jiann
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26