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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Stepwise Earth oxygenation is an inherent property of global biogeochemical cycling 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 366 (6471) : 1333-+
作者:  Alcott, Lewis J.;  Mills, Benjamin J. W.;  Poulton, Simon W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Model simulation experiments give scientists a clearer understanding of factors that influence monsoon behavior 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert!. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Is There an Influence of the Pole Tide on Volcanism? Insights From Mount Etna Recent Activity 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 13730-13736
作者:  Lambert, S.;  Sottili, G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Earth rotation  volcanism  seismicity  polar motion  Chandler wobble  Mount Etna  
Realistic Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Variability in Historical and Decadal Hindcast Simulations Using CMIP6 Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 14118-14125
作者:  Pohlmann, Holger;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Bittner, Matthias;  Hettrich, Sebastian;  Modali, Kameswarrao;  Pankatz, Klaus;  Marotzke, Jochem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
CMIP6  decadal prediction  quasi-biennial oscillation  
Hydroclimate patterns over the Northern Hemisphere when megadroughts occurred in North China during the last millennium 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 157 (3-4) : 365-385
作者:  Bai, Mengxin;  Zheng, Jingyun;  Hao, Zhixin;  Zhang, Xuezhen;  Zeng, Gang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Spring Aleutian Low Weakening and Surface Cooling Trend in Northwest North America During Recent Decades 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 12078-12092
作者:  Sun, Cheng;  Kucharski, Fred;  Li, Jianping;  Wang, Kaicun;  Kang, In-Sik;  Lian, Tao;  Liu, Ting;  Ding, Ruiqiang;  Xie, Fei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
An Interdecadal Shift of the Extratropical Teleconnection From the Tropical Pacific During Boreal Summer 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13379-13388
作者:  O&;  39;Reilly, Christopher H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
El Nino-Southern Oscillation  summer  ocean-atmosphere coupling  teleconnections  decadal variability  climate dynamics  
The climatology and interannual variability of cyclone tracks in the National Center for Environmental Prediction's climate forecast system model for the Southern Hemisphere 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (13) : 4967-4984
作者:  Eichler, Timothy P.;  Market, Patrick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climatology  cyclone-tracks  model  reanalysis  teleconnections  variability  
Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5777-5797
作者:  Wang, Yiguo;  Counillon, Francois;  Keenlyside, Noel;  Svendsen, Lea;  Gleixner, Stephanie;  Kimmritz, Madlen;  Dai, Panxi;  Gao, Yongqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction  Advanced data assimilation  EnKF  SST  NorCPM  ENSO  Sea ice extent