GSTDTAP

浏览/检索结果: 共65条,第1-10条 帮助

限定条件                    
已选(0)清除 条数/页:   排序方式:
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Model simulation experiments give scientists a clearer understanding of factors that influence monsoon behavior 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert!. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5777-5797
作者:  Wang, Yiguo;  Counillon, Francois;  Keenlyside, Noel;  Svendsen, Lea;  Gleixner, Stephanie;  Kimmritz, Madlen;  Dai, Panxi;  Gao, Yongqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction  Advanced data assimilation  EnKF  SST  NorCPM  ENSO  Sea ice extent  
Assessing the skill of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5763-5775
作者:  Boer, George J.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Decadal prediction  Pacific Decadal Oscillation  PDO  Modal skill  CanCM4 decadal hindcasts  
Projections of climate changes over mid-high latitudes of Eurasia during boreal spring: uncertainty due to internal variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 6309-6327
作者:  Chen, Shangfeng;  Wu, Renguang;  Chen, Wen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Boreal spring  Eurasia  Internal variability  External forcing  Uncertainty  
Assessing External and Internal Sources of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Using Models, Proxy Data, and Early Instrumental Indices 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7727-7745
作者:  O&;  39;Reilly, Christopher H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North Atlantic Ocean  Air-sea interaction  Climate records  Multidecadal variability  North Atlantic Oscillation  
How aerosols affect our climate 新闻
来源平台:EurekAlert!. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
How Aerosols Affect Our Climate 新闻
来源平台:Science Daily. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/20
Attribution of the East Asian Winter Temperature Trends During 1979-2018: Role of External Forcing and Internal Variability 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Gong, Hainan;  Wang, Lin;  Chen, Wen;  Wu, Renguang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Asia  temperature trend  external forcing  internal variability  dynamical adjustment  quantitative analysis  
Reconciling roles of sulphate aerosol forcing and internal variability in Atlantic multidecadal climate changes 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4651-4665
作者:  Watanabe, Masahiro;  Tatebe, Hiroaki
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atlantic multidecadal variability  Sulphate aerosols  Climate model