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Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
On the interpretation of seasonal Southern Africa precipitation prediction skill estimates during Austral summer 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6769-6783
作者:  Hoell, Andrew;  Eischeid, Jon
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Predictive Skill and Predictable Patterns of the US Seasonal Precipitation in CFSv2 Reforecasts of 60 Years (1958-2017) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8603-8637
作者:  Huang, Bohua;  Shin, Chul-Su;  Kumar, Arun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Precipitation  Seasonal forecasting  Climate models  Multidecadal variability  
Coupling forecast calibration and data-driven downscaling for generating reliable, high-resolution, multivariate seasonal climate forecast ensembles at multiple sites 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Schepen, Andrew;  Everingham, Yvette;  Wang, Quan J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
bias-correction  forecast verification  multivariate  post-processing  seasonal forecasting  
Forecast-Oriented Assessment of Decadal Hindcast Skill for North Atlantic SST 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Borchert, Leonard F.;  Duesterhus, Andre;  Brune, Sebastian;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Baehr, Johanna
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
decadal climate prediction  North Atlantic  ocean heat transport  forecast verification  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Predictability of Idealized Thunderstorms in Buoyancy-Shear Space 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (9) : 2653-2672
作者:  Lawson, John R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Storm environments  Supercells  Thunderstorms  Mesoscale forecasting  Short-range prediction  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  
Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5363-5379
作者:  Kamarainen, Matti;  Uotila, Petteri;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Lehtonen, Ilari;  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Europe  Principal components analysis  Forecast verification  skill  Seasonal forecasting  Statistical forecasting  Decadal variability  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification