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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Legacies of more frequent drought in ponderosa pine across the western United States 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (11) : 3803-3816
作者:  Peltier, Drew M. P.;  Ogle, Kiona
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
disturbance  hydraulic failure  ITRDB  memory  NSC  pervasive  plasticity  repeat  SAM  tree-ring  
Human origins in a southern African palaeo-wetland and first migrations 期刊论文
Nature, 2019, 575: 185-189
作者:  Eva K. F. Chan;  Axel Timmermann;  Benedetta F. Baldi;  Andy E. Moore;  Ruth J. Lyons;  Sun-Seon Lee;  Anton M. F. Kalsbeek;  Desiree C. Petersen;  Hannes Rautenbach;  Hagen E. A. F枚rtsch;  M. S. Riana Bornman;  Vanessa M. Hayes
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Differing climate and landscape effects on regional dryland vegetation responses during wet periods allude to future patterns 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (10) : 3305-3318
作者:  Petrie, Matthew D.;  Peters, Debra P. C.;  Burruss, N. Dylan;  Ji, Wenjie;  Savoy, Heather M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Chihuahuan Desert  climate change  extreme events  legacy effects  precipitation  regional processes  vegetation responses  
Fixing a snag in carbon emissions estimates from wildfires 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (11) : 3985-3994
作者:  Stenzel, Jeffrey E.;  Bartowitz, Kristina J.;  Hartman, Melannie D.;  Lutz, James A.;  Kolden, Crystal A.;  Smith, Alistair M. S.;  Law, Beverly E.;  Swanson, Mark E.;  Larson, Andrew J.;  Parton, William J.;  Hudiburg, Tara W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
carbon  climate change mitigation  fire  forests  GHG emissions  modeling  
Integrating anthropogenic factors into regional-scale species distribution models-A novel application in the imperiled sagebrush biome 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (11) : 3844-3858
作者:  Requena-Mullor, Juan M.;  Maguire, Kaitlin C.;  Shinneman, Douglas J.;  Caughlin, Timothy Trevor
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Anthropocene  Artemisia tridentata  Bromus tectorum  ecological restoration  global change  Great Basin  invasive species  large-scale  sagebrush steppe  wildfire  
Observation of irrigation-induced climate change in the Midwest United States 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (10) : 3472-3484
作者:  Nocco, Mallika A.;  Smail, Robert A.;  Kucharik, Christopher J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
agriculture  climate  groundwater  irrigation  land use  Midwest United States  temperature  vapor pressure deficit  
Global environmental changes impact soil hydraulic functions through biophysical feedbacks 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 1895-1904
作者:  Robinson, David A.;  Hopmans, Jan W.;  Filipovic, Vilim;  van der Ploeg, Martine;  Lebron, Inma;  Jones, Scott B.;  Reinsch, Sabine;  Jarvis, Nick;  Tuller, Markus
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
biophysical feedbacks  environmental change  hydraulic  infiltration  soil physics  soil water content  state shift  water repellency  
Denitrification as a major regional nitrogen sink in subtropical forest catchments: Evidence from multi-site dual nitrate isotopes 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (5) : 1765-1778
作者:  Yu, Longfei;  Mulder, Jan;  Zhu, Jing;  Zhang, Xiaoshan;  Wang, Zhangwei;  Doersch, Peter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
groundwater discharge zone  hydrological continuum  isotopic modelling  nitrification  nitrogen removal  delta N-15 and delta O-18 of nitrate  
Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C above pre-industrial warming 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (4) : 1428-1444
作者:  Liu, Bing;  39;Leary, Garry J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
1.5 degrees C warming  climate change  extreme low yields  food security  model ensemble  wheat production