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Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Re-emergence of North Atlantic subsurface ocean temperature anomalies in a seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4799-4820
作者:  Grist, Jeremy P.;  Sinha, Bablu;  Hewitt, Helene. T.;  Duchez, Aurelie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Hyder, Patrick;  Josey, Simon A.;  Hirschi, Joel J. -M.;  Blaker, Adam T.;  New, Adrian. L.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Roberts, Chris D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Climate model  Re-emergence  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Skill of Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction in multiple seasonal prediction systems 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5291-5301
作者:  Jain, Shipra;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Mitra, Ashis K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Climate Historical Forecasts Project (CHFP)  Seasonal prediction  Indian monsoon  ENSO-monsoon teleconnection  Seasonal hindcasts  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Stratospheric initial conditions provide seasonal predictability of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (3)
作者:  Nie, Yu;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Hong Li Ren;  Comer, Ruth E.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Davis, Philip;  Martin, Nicola
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
seasonal prediction  stratosphere  NAO/AO  GloSea5  
Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2585-2596
作者:  Thompson, Vikki;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Smith, Doug M.;  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Lu, Bo;  Belcher, Stephen E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Unprecedented extremes  Climate risks  Silk Road Pattern  China  Hot summers  
Observed and Simulated Teleconnections Between the Stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere Winter Atmospheric Circulation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (3) : 1219-1232
作者:  Andrews, Martin B.;  Knight, Jeff R.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Lu, Yixiong;  Wu, Tongwen;  Gray, Lesley J.;  Schenzinger, Verena
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
QBO  teleconnections  Arctic Oscillation  North Atlantic Oscillation  
Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (2) : 974-988
作者:  Scaife, Adam A.;  Ferranti, Laura;  Alves, Oscar;  Athanasiadis, Panos;  Baehr, Johanna;  Deque, Michel;  Dippe, Tina;  Dunstone, Nick;  Fereday, David;  Gudgel, Richard G.;  Greatbatch, Richard J.;  Hermanson, Leon;  Imada, Yukiko;  Jain, Shipra;  Kumar, Arun;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Merryfield, William;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug;  Takaya, Yuhei;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble  ENSO  NAO  PNA  seasona prediction  tropical rainfall  
Impact of soil moisture initialization on boreal summer subseasonal forecasts: mid-latitude surface air temperature and heat wave events 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 1695-1709
作者:  Seo, Eunkyo;  Lee, Myong-In;  Jeong, Jee-Hoon;  Koster, Randal D.;  Schubert, Siegfried D.;  Kim, Hye-Mi;  Kim, Daehyun;  Kang, Hyun-Suk;  Kim, Hyun-Kyung;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Scaife, Adam A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09