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Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Maher, Nicola;  Lehner, Flavio;  Marotzke, Jochem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
internal variability  SMILEs  large ensembles  short-term projections  mid-term projections  surface temperature  model differences  
Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5677-5699
作者:  Sippel, Sebastian;  Meinshausen, Nicolai;  Merrifield, Anna;  Lehner, Flavio;  Pendergrass, Angeline G.;  Fischer, Erich;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmospheric circulation  Climate change  Climate prediction  Regression analysis  Statistical techniques  Climate variability  
Human Influence on Winter Precipitation Trends (1921-2015) over North America and Eurasia Revealed by Dynamical Adjustment 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (6) : 3426-3434
作者:  Guo, Ruixia;  Deser, Clara;  Terray, Laurent;  Lehner, Flavio
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
precipitation trends  anthropogenic climate change  dynamical adjustment  
Toward a New Estimate of "Time of Emergence'' of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (19)
作者:  Lehner, Flavio;  Deser, Clara;  Terray, Laurent
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Assessing recent declines in Upper Rio Grande runoff efficiency from a paleoclimate perspective 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (9)
作者:  Lehner, Flavio;  Wahl, Eugene R.;  Wood, Andrew W.;  Blatchford, Douglas B.;  Llewellyn, Dagmar
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
runoff efficiency  paleoclimate  temperature  climate variability  streamflow  Rio Grande