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Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Huguenin, Maurice F.;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Kotlarski, Sven;  Scherrer, Simon C.;  Schwierz, Cornelia;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Frequency  Persistence  Atmosphere  Circulation  Central  Europe  
Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Brunner, Lukas;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Zumwald, Marius;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
model weighting  climate models  CMIP5  Europe  EUCP  temperature  precipitation  
Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5677-5699
作者:  Sippel, Sebastian;  Meinshausen, Nicolai;  Merrifield, Anna;  Lehner, Flavio;  Pendergrass, Angeline G.;  Fischer, Erich;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmospheric circulation  Climate change  Climate prediction  Regression analysis  Statistical techniques  Climate variability  
Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1581-1596
作者:  Herger, Nadja;  Abramowitz, Gab;  Sherwood, Steven;  Knutti, Reto;  Angelil, Oliver;  Sisson, Scott A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Multi-objective optimisation  Pareto optimality  Constraint  Multi-model ensemble  Prediction  Model-as-truth experiments  
The Uneven Nature of Daily Precipitation and Its Change 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (21) : 11980-11988
作者:  Pendergrass, Angeline G.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (9) : 4509-4526
作者:  Lorenz, Ruth;  Herger, Nadja;  Sedlacek, Jan;  Eyring, Veronika;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Potential to Constrain Projections of Hot Temperature Extremes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (24)
作者:  Borodina, Aleksandra;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Improved Consistency of Climate Projections over Europe after Accounting for Atmospheric Circulation Variability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (18)
作者:  Saffioti, Claudio;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Future local climate unlike currently observed anywhere 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (8)
作者:  Dahinden, Fabienne;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change communication  spatial climate analogs  novel and disappearing climates  
Models are likely to underestimate increase in heavy rainfall in the extratropical regions with high rainfall intensity 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (14)
作者:  Borodina, Aleksandra;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09