Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019GL086132 |
Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe | |
Huguenin, Maurice F.1,2,3,4; Fischer, Erich M.1; Kotlarski, Sven2; Scherrer, Simon C.2; Schwierz, Cornelia2; Knutti, Reto1 | |
2020-05-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 47期号:9 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Switzerland; Australia |
英文摘要 | In recent summers, Europe experienced record-breaking heatwaves, wildfires (in Northern Europe), and large-scale water scarcity. Apart from anthropogenic warming, one contribution leading to such exceptionally hot weather was a weaker jet stream allowing a quasi-stationary high-pressure system to persist for many days. Here, we quantify changes in the frequency and persistence of the Central European large-scale circulation types using various climate models. Independent of the circulation type, the models project warmer and drier future summer conditions in Central Europe, but no consistent shift to a more persistent summer or winter circulation. Most of the frequency and persistence changes are small and either within the internal variability or inconsistent across models. The model projections in this study do not support the claim of more persistent weather over Central Europe. Reconciling the results of different approaches and classifications is therefore critical to understand and predict changes in extreme weather over Europe. |
英文关键词 | Frequency Persistence Atmosphere Circulation Central Europe |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000536639500043 |
WOS关键词 | ARCTIC SEA-ICE ; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; EDDY-DRIVEN JET ; MIDLATITUDE WEATHER ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LAPSE-RATE ; VARIABILITY ; SUMMER ; AMPLIFICATION ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279936 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland; 2.MeteoSwiss, Fed Off Meteorol & Climatol, Zurich, Switzerland; 3.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 4.Univ New South Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huguenin, Maurice F.,Fischer, Erich M.,Kotlarski, Sven,et al. Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,47(9). |
APA | Huguenin, Maurice F.,Fischer, Erich M.,Kotlarski, Sven,Scherrer, Simon C.,Schwierz, Cornelia,&Knutti, Reto.(2020).Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,47(9). |
MLA | Huguenin, Maurice F.,et al."Lack of Change in the Projected Frequency and Persistence of Atmospheric Circulation Types Over Central Europe".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 47.9(2020). |
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