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Modeling optimal responses and fitness consequences in a changing Arctic 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (10) : 3450-3461
作者:  Reimer, Jody R.;  Mangel, Marc;  Derocher, Andrew E.;  Lewis, Mark A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate change  energetic model  marine mammal  optimality theory  polar bear  state-dependent model  stochastic dynamic programming  Ursus maritimus  
Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Effects of mesophyll conductance on vegetation responses to elevated CO2 concentrations in a land surface model 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (5) : 1820-1838
作者:  Knauer, Juergen;  Zaehle, Soenke;  De Kauwe, Martin G.;  Bahar, Nur H. A.;  Evans, John R.;  Medlyn, Belinda E.;  Reichstein, Markus;  Werner, Christiane
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
elevated CO2 concentrations  land surface modeling  mesophyll conductance  photosynthetic CO2 sensitivity  representative concentration pathways  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Near-future forest vulnerability to drought and fire varies across the western United States 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (1) : 290-303
作者:  Buotte, Polly C.;  Levis, Samuel;  Law, Beverly E.;  Hudiburg, Tara W.;  Rupp, David E.;  Kent, Jeffery J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  drought  fire  forest  modeling  western United States  
Opportunities for climate-risk reduction through effective fisheries management 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (11) : 5149-5163
作者:  Cheung, William W. L.;  Jones, Miranda C.;  Reygondeau, Gabriel;  Frolicher, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
adaptation  climate change  fishing  fuzzy logic  risk of impacts  vulnerability  
Dramatic loss of seagrass habitat under projected climate change in the Mediterranean Sea 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (10) : 4919-4928
作者:  Chefaoui, Rosa M.;  Duarte, Carlos M.;  Serrao, Ester A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  Cymodocea nodosa  ecological niche modeling  genetic diversity  Mediterranean Sea  Posidonia oceanica  range shift  seagrass decline  
A spatially explicit representation of conservation agriculture for application in global change studies 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (9) : 4038-4053
作者:  Prestele, Reinhard;  Hirsch, Annette L.;  Davin, Edouard L.;  Seneviratne, Sonia I.;  Verburg, Peter H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
crop residue management  land management  land-based mitigation  no-till farming  sustainable intensification  zero tillage  
How will climate novelty influence ecological forecasts? Using the Quaternary to assess future reliability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (8) : 3575-3586
作者:  Fitzpatrick, Matthew C.;  Blois, Jessica L.;  Williams, John W.;  Nieto-Lugilde, Diego;  Maguire, Kaitlin C.;  Lorenz, David J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  climate novelty  community-level modeling  ecological forecasting  no-analog climate  Quaternary  species distribution modeling  
Half the story: Thermal effects on within-host infectious disease progression in a warming climate 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (1) : 371-386
作者:  Stewart, Alexander;  Hablutzel, Pascal I.;  Brown, Martha;  Watson, Hayley V.;  Parker-Norman, Sophie;  Tober, Anya V.;  Thomason, Anna G.;  Friberg, Ida M.;  Cable, Joanne;  Jackson, Joseph A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
disease  ectothermic  Gasterosteus aculeatus  immunity  infection  parasite  phenology  systems analysis  teleost  vertebrate