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Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and Its Climate Impacts With a Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (24) : 13538-13546
作者:  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Charlton-Perez, Andrew;  Balmaseda, Magdalena;  Tyrrell, Nicholas;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction  sudden stratospheric warming  stratosphere-troposphere coupling  extended range forecasts  
Towards Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of Extratropical Transition in the North Atlantic 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (22) : 12602-12609
作者:  Liu, M.;  Vecchi, G. A.;  Smith, J. A.;  Murakami, H.;  Gudgel, R.;  Yang, X.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
extratropical transition  seasonal forecast  climate models  
Improved Reanalysis and Prediction of Atmospheric Fields Over the Southern Ocean Using Campaign-Based Radiosonde Observations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (20) : 11406-11413
作者:  Sato, Kazutoshi;  Inoue, Jun;  Alexander, Simon P.;  McFarquhar, Greg;  Yamazaki, Akira
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Benefits of Seasonal Climate Prediction and Satellite Data for Forecasting US Maize Yield 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (18) : 9662-9671
作者:  Peng, Bin;  Guan, Kaiyu;  Pan, Ming;  Li, Yan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
maize yield  seasonal forecast  statistical model  climate  remote sensing  
A New Approach to Improve the Track Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Over North Indian Ocean 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7781-7789
作者:  Ganesh, S. Saranya;  Sahai, A. K.;  Abhilash, S.;  Joseph, S.;  Dey, A.;  Mandal, R.;  Chattopadhyay, R.;  Phani, R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
North Indian Ocean cyclonic storms  tropical cyclone track prediction  bias-correction and signal amplification technique  Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System  probabilistic forecasting  
An Intercomparison of Skill and Overconfidence/Underconfidence of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7808-7817
作者:  Baker, L. H.;  Shaffrey, L. C.;  Sutton, R. T.;  Weisheimer, A.;  Scaife, A. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
North Atlantic Oscillation  Europe  seasonal forecasting  predictability  
Enhancing the Predictability of Seasonal Streamflow With a Statistical-Dynamical Approach 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (13) : 6504-6513
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
streamflow  forecast  NMME  precipitation  temperature  land cover  
Statistical Forecasting of Current and Future Circum-Arctic Ground Temperatures and Active Layer Thickness 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (10) : 4889-4898
作者:  Aalto, J.;  Karjalainen, O.;  Hjort, J.;  Luoto, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble modeling  permafrost  climate change  uncertainty  Arctic  ground thermal regime  
A First Look at Decadal Hydrological Predictability by Land Surface Ensemble Simulations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (5) : 2362-2369
作者:  Yuan, Xing;  Zhu, Enda
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
predictability  decadal prediction  land surface model  ESP  terrestrial water storage  CLM