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Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 989-1022
作者:  Sexton, D. M. H.;  Karmalkar, A. V.;  Murphy, J. M.;  Williams, K. D.;  Boutle, I. A.;  Morcrette, C. J.;  Stirling, A. J.;  Vosper, S. B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Perturbed parameter ensembles  Transpose AMIP  Model development  Sensitivity analysis  Elicitation  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 847-877
作者:  Karmalkar, Ambarish V.;  Sexton, David M. H.;  Murphy, James M.;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Rostron, John W.;  McNeall, Doug J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty  Perturbed parameter ensemble  Seamless assessment  Statistical emulation  Filtering parameter space  Plausible model variants  
Validity of parameter optimization in improving MJO simulation and prediction using the sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast model of Beijing Climate Center 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3823-3843
作者:  Liu, Xiangwen;  Li, Weijing;  Wu, Tongwen;  Li, Tim;  Gu, Weizong;  Bo, Zongkai;  Yang, Beng;  Zhang, Li;  Jie, Weihua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Parameter optimization  MJO simulation  MJO forecast skill  Improvement  
Climate model forecast biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Mulholland, David P.;  Haines, Keith;  Sparrow, Sarah N.;  Wallom, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Perturbed physics  Model drift  HadCM3  Climate model optimisation