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Early climate models successfully predicted global warming 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7793) : 45-46
作者:  Bertolucci, Sergio;  Mulargia, Francesco;  Giardini, Domenico
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

An evaluation of past climate-model forecasts.


Climate models published between 1970 and 2007 provided accurate forecasts of subsequently observed global surface warming. This finding shows the value of using global observations to vet climate models as the planet warms.


  
Climate change and variability impacts on grazing herds: Insights from a system dynamics approach for semi-arid Australian rangelands 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 3091-3109
作者:  Godde, Cecile;  Dizyee, Kanar;  Ash, Andrew;  Thornton, Philip;  Sloat, Lindsey;  Roura, Eugeni;  Henderson, Benjamin;  Herrero, Mario
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  climate variability  grasslands  greenhouse gas emissions  intensification  livestock modelling  system dynamics  vulnerability  
Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2043-2060
作者:  Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite;  Arrizabalaga, Haritz;  Hobday, Alistair J.;  Cabre, Anna;  Ibaibarriaga, Leire;  Arregui, Igor;  Murua, Hilario;  Chust, Guillem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
climate change  exclusive economic zone  future projections  poleward shift  species distribution model  tuna  
Rapidly declining remarkability of temperature anomalies may obscure public perception of climate change 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (11) : 4905-4910
作者:  Moore, Frances C.;  Obradovich, Nick;  Lehner, Flavio;  Baylis, Patrick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  perception  Twitter  baseline  temperature  
Mapping the effects of drought on child stunting 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (35) : 17219-17224
作者:  Cooper, Matthew W.;  Brown, Molly E.;  Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan;  Pflug, Georg;  McCallum, Ian;  Fritz, Steffen;  Silva, Julie;  Zvoleff, Alexander
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
child stunting  undernutrition  drought  vulnerability mapping  
Land use of drained peatlands: Greenhouse gas fluxes, plant production, and economics 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (8) : 3302-3316
作者:  Kasimir, Asa;  He, Hongxing;  Coria, Jessica;  Norden, Anna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
CH4  CO2  cost-benefit analysis  CoupModel  N2O  Norway spruce  reed canary grass  soil water table depth  willow  
Adaptation of global land use and management intensity to changes in climate and atmospheric carbon dioxide 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (7) : 2791-2809
作者:  Alexander, Peter;  Rabin, Sam;  Anthoni, Peter;  Henry, Roslyn;  Pugh, Thomas A. M.;  Rounsevell, Mark D. A.;  Arneth, Almut
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change adaptation  CO2 fertilisation  food system  land use change  land use intensity  telecoupling  
Essential ocean variables for global sustained observations of biodiversity and ecosystem changes 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (6) : 2416-2433
作者:  Miloslavich, Patricia;  Bax, Nicholas J.;  Simmons, Samantha E.;  Klein, Eduardo;  Appeltans, Ward;  Aburto-Oropeza, Octavio;  Garcia, Melissa Andersen;  Batten, Sonia D.;  Benedetti-Cecchi, Lisandro;  Checkley, David M., Jr.;  Chiba, Sanae;  Duffy, J. Emmett;  Dunn, Daniel C.;  Fischer, Albert;  Gunn, John;  Kudela, Raphael;  Marsac, Francis;  Muller-Karger, Frank E.;  Obura, David;  Shin, Yunne-Jai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
driver-pressure-state-impact-response  essential ocean variables  framework for ocean observing  global ocean observing system  marine biodiversity changes  Marine Biodiversity Observation Network  ocean change  
How much do direct livestock emissions actually contribute to global warming? 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (4) : 1749-1761
作者:  Reisinger, Andy;  Clark, Harry
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
1.5 degrees C warming  attribution  climate change metrics  global warming potential  livestock  non-CO2 mitigation  Paris Agreement  
Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (2)
作者:  Alexander, Peter;  Prestele, Reinhard;  Verburg, Peter H.;  Arneth, Almut;  Baranzelli, Claudia;  Batista e Silva, Filipe;  Brown, Calum;  Butler, Adam;  Calvin, Katherine;  Dendoncker, Nicolas;  Doelman, Jonathan C.;  Dunford, Robert;  Engstrom, Kerstin;  Eitelberg, David;  Fujimori, Shinichiro;  Harrison, Paula A.;  Hasegawa, Tomoko;  Havlik, Petr;  Holzhauer, Sascha;  Humpenoeder, Florian;  Jacobs-Crisioni, Chris;  Jain, Atul K.;  Krisztin, Tamas;  Kyle, Page;  Lavalle, Carlo;  Lenton, Tim;  Liu, Jiayi;  Meiyappan, Prasanth;  Popp, Alexander;  Powell, Tom;  Sands, Ronald D.;  Schaldach, Ruediger;  Stehfest, Elke;  Steinbuks, Jevgenijs;  Tabeau, Andrzej;  van Meijl, Hans;  Wise, Marshall A.;  Rounsevell, Mark D. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
cropland  land cover  land use  model inter-comparison  uncertainty