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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
Quantifying the drivers and predictability of seasonal changes in African fire 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Yu, Yan;  Mao, Jiafu;  Thornton, Peter E.;  Notaro, Michael;  Wullschleger, Stan D.;  Shi, Xiaoying;  Hoffman, Forrest M.;  Wang, Yaoping
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
Assimilating multi-satellite snow data in ungauged Eurasia improves the simulation accuracy of Asian monsoon seasonal anomalies 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Lin, Peirong;  Yang, Zong-Liang;  Wei, Jiangfeng;  Dickinson, Robert E.;  Zhang, Yongfei;  Zhao, Long
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Asian monsoon  dynamical seasonal forecast  multi-satellite snow data assimilation  GRACE  MODIS  
Enhanced Northern Hemisphere Correlation Skill of Subseasonal Predictions in the Strong Negative Phase of the Arctic Oscillation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (10)
作者:  Minami, Atsushi;  Takaya, Yuhei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
AO  subseasonal predictability  eddy-zonal flow interaction  
What Caused the Extreme Indian Ocean Dipole Event in 2019? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Indian Ocean Dipole  cause  prediction  
Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Lu, Zhengyao;  Liu, Zhengyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
ENSO growth rate  seasonal persistence barrier strength  Bjerknes stability index  thermodynamic damping  thermocline  
Social-media and newspaper reports reveal large-scale meteorological drivers of floods on Sumatra 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Baranowski, Dariusz B.;  Flatau, Maria K.;  Flatau, Piotr J.;  Karnawati, Dwikorita;  Barabasz, Katarzyna;  Labuz, Michal;  Latos, Beata;  Schmidt, Jerome M.;  Paski, Jaka A., I;  Marzuki
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
Potential for Early Forecast of Moroccan Wheat Yields Based on Climatic Drivers 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Lehmann, J.;  Kretschmer, M.;  Schauberger, B.;  Wechsung, F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
causal discovery algorithms  teleconnections  seasonal forecast  machine learning  wheat forecast  climate precursors  
Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Giannini, A.;  Ali, A.;  Kelley, C. P.;  Lamptey, B. L.;  Minoungou, B.;  Ndiaye, O.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
seasonal climate prediction  Sahel  PRESA-SS  precipitation  El Nino-Southern Oscillation  climate services  
Evolution of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Becker, Emily;  Kirtman, Ben P.;  Pegion, Kathy
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02