Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble

doi:10.1029/2020GL087341

GSTDTAP > 气候变化

DOI	10.1029/2020GL087341
	Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble
	Giannini, A.1,2; Ali, A.3; Kelley, C. P.1; Lamptey, B. L.4,5; Minoungou, B.3; Ndiaye, O.1,6
	2020-05-16
发表期刊	GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN	0094-8276
EISSN	1944-8007
出版年	2020
卷号	47 期号:9
文章类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	USA; France; Niger; England; Senegal
英文摘要	We assess the deterministic skill in seasonal climate predictions of Sahel rainfall made with the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME). We find that skill for a regionally averaged rainfall index is essentially the same for forecasts for the July-September target season made as early as February/March and as late as June. The two dominant influences on the climate of the Sahel, the North Atlantic and the global tropical oceans, shape this predictability. Multimodel ensemble skill hinges on the combination of skillful predictions of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation made with one model (CMC2-CanCM4) with those of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures made with another (NASA-GEOSS2S).
英文关键词	seasonal climate prediction Sahel PRESA-SS precipitation El Nino-Southern Oscillation climate services
领域	气候变化
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000536639500047
WOS关键词	TO-INTERANNUAL PREDICTION ; ATLANTIC ; PREDICTABILITY ; AFRICA
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向	Geology
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279893
专题	气候变化
作者单位	1.Columbia Univ, Earth Inst, Int Res Inst Climate & Soc, Palisades, NY 10964 USA; 2.PSL Res Univ, Lab Meteorol Dynam IPSL, Ecole Normale Super, Sorbonne Univ,Ecole Polytech,IP Paris,CNRS, Paris, France; 3.Ctr Reg AGRHYMET, Niamey, Niger; 4.Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England; 5.African Ctr Meteorol Applicat Dev, Niamey, Niger; 6.Agence Natl Aviat Civile & Meteorol, Dakar, Senegal
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Giannini, A.,Ali, A.,Kelley, C. P.,et al. Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,47(9).
APA	Giannini, A.,Ali, A.,Kelley, C. P.,Lamptey, B. L.,Minoungou, B.,&Ndiaye, O..(2020).Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,47(9).
MLA	Giannini, A.,et al."Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 47.9(2020).