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Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Lu, Zhengyao;  Liu, Zhengyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
ENSO growth rate  seasonal persistence barrier strength  Bjerknes stability index  thermodynamic damping  thermocline  
Excessive Momentum and False Alarms in Late-Spring ENSO Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (8)
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
ENSO  prediction  forecast busts  
Seasonal Cycle of Background in the Tropical Pacific as a Cause of ENSO Spring Persistence Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13371-13378
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Liu, Zhengyu;  Lu, Zhengyao;  He, Chengfei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
General seasonal phase-locking of variance and persistence: application to tropical pacific, north pacific and global ocean 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2825-2842
作者:  Jin, Yishuai;  Liu, Zhengyu;  Rong, Xinyao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Phase locking  Variance  Persistence  Growth rate  Noise forcing  
Diagnosing the representation and causes of the ENSO persistence barrier in CMIP5 simulations 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2147-2160
作者:  Tian, Ben;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Jin, Fei-Fei;  Stuecker, Malte F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ENSO  Persistence barrier  CMIP5 simulations  
Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1063-1076
作者:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
Planning for the past: Local temporality and the construction of denial in climate change adaptation 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2019, 57
作者:  Bowden, Vanessa;  Nyberg, Daniel;  Wright, Christopher
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Climate change  Socially organised denial  Adaptation  Temporality  Place  
Decadal Modulation of ENSO Spring Persistence Barrier by Thermal Damping Processes in the Observation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (12) : 6892-6899
作者:  Fang, Xiang-Hui;  Zheng, Fei;  Liu, Zheng-Yu;  Zhu, Jiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
ENSO  spring persistence barrier  air-sea interaction  thermal damping feedback  stability  
A Theory for the Seasonal Predictability Barrier: Threshold, Timing, and Intensity 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (2) : 423-443
作者:  Liu, Zhengyu;  Jin, Yishuai;  Rong, Xinyao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate variability  
A 3,000-year lag between the geological and ecological shutdown of Florida's coral reefs 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (11) : 5471-5483
作者:  Toth, Lauren T.;  Kuffner, Ilsa B.;  Stathakopoulos, Anastasios;  Shinn, Eugene A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
bioerosion  climate change  coral reefs  ecological tipping points  Holocene  reef accretion  sea level  western Atlantic