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Improving the CPC's ENSO Forecasts using Bayesian model averaging 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3373-3385
作者:  Zhang, Hanpei;  Chu, Pao-Shin;  He, Luke;  Unger, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Assessment of Storm Wind Speed Prediction Using Gridded Bayesian Regression Applied to Historical Events With NCAR's Real-Time Ensemble Forecast System 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (16) : 9241-9261
作者:  Yang, Jaemo;  Astitha, Marina;  Schwartz, Craig S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
A consistent statistical model selection for abrupt glacial climate changes 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6411-6426
作者:  Lohmann, Johannes;  Ditlevsen, Peter D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Dansgaard-Oeschger events  Statistical model comparison  Approximate Bayesian computation  Abrupt climate change  Millennial-scale climate variability  
Partitioning Uncertainty Components of an Incomplete Ensemble of Climate Projections Using Data Augmentation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (8) : 2423-2440
作者:  Evin, Guillaume;  Hingray, Benoit;  Blanchet, Juliette;  Eckert, Nicolas;  Morin, Samuel;  Verfaillie, Deborah
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Bayesian methods  Error analysis  Risk assessment  Statistical techniques  Climate models  Climate variability  
Dominance of the mean sea level in the high-percentile sea levels time evolution with respect to large-scale climate variability: a Bayesian statistical approach 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (1)
作者:  Rohmer, Jeremy;  Le Cozannet, Goneri
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
mean sea level  extremes  Bayesian structure time series model  Kalman-filter  climate indices  
Characterizing climate change risks by linking robust decision frameworks and uncertain probabilistic projections 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2018, 151: 525-539
作者:  Shortridge, Julie E.;  Zaitchik, Benjamin F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Risks  Uncertainty  Adaptation  Probabilistic projections  Robust decision-making  
Influence of the Pacific and Indian Ocean climate drivers on the rainfall in Vietnam 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (15) : 5717-5732
作者:  Duc, Hiep N.;  Bang, Ho Q.;  Quang, Ngo X.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Asian monsoon  Bayesian model averaging  climate drivers  ENSO  IOD  IPO  rainfall  Vietnam  
A human-environmental network model for assessing coastal mitigation decisions informed by imperfect climate studies 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2018, 53: 137-145
作者:  Small, Mitchell J.;  Xian, Siyuan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Bayesian network  Risk perception  Mitigation regret  Coastal storm flooding  Climate studies  New York City  
Estimating the Transient Climate Response from Observed Warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (20) : 8645-8663
作者:  Schurer, Andrew;  Hegerl, Gabi;  Ribes, Aurelien;  Polson, Debbie;  Morice, Colin;  Tett, Simon
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Aerosols  Climate sensitivity  Greenhouse gases  Regression analysis  Statistical techniques  
Topographic and Seismic Constraints on the Vulnerability of Himalayan Hydropower 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (17) : 8985-8992
作者:  Schwanghart, Wolfgang;  Ryan, Marie;  Korup, Oliver
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
natural hazards  hydropower  landslides  Himalaya