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The increasing likelihood of temperatures above 30 to 40 degrees C in the United Kingdom 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Christidis, Nikolaos;  McCarthy, Mark;  Stott, Peter A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/06
Weather at the winter and stopover areas determines spring migration onset, progress, and advancements in Afro-Palearctic migrant birds 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (29) : 17056-17062
作者:  Haest, Birgen;  Hueppop, Ommo;  Bairlein, Franz
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/06
phenology  environmental plasticity  microevolution  behavioral flexibility  conservation  
Extreme climate after massive eruption of Alaska's Okmok volcano in 43 BCE and effects on the late Roman Republic and Ptolemaic Kingdom 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (27) : 15443-15449
作者:  McConnell, Joseph R.;  Sigl, Michael;  Plunkett, Gill;  Burke, Andrea;  Kim, Woon Mi;  Raible, Christoph C.;  Wilson, Andrew, I;  Manning, Joseph G.;  Ludlow, Francis;  Chellman, Nathan J.;  Innes, Helen M.;  Yang, Zhen;  Larsen, Jessica F.;  Schaefer, Janet R.;  Kipfstuhl, Sepp;  Mojtabavi, Seyedhamidreza;  Wilhelms, Frank;  Opel, Thomas;  Meyer, Hanno;  Steffensen, Jorgen Peder
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/29
ice core  volcano  Okmok  Rome  climate forcing  
On the influence of density and morphology on the Urban Heat Island intensity 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Li, Yunfei;  Schubert, Sebastian;  Kropp, Juergen P.;  Rybski, Diego
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/01
Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Achebak, Hicham;  Devolder, Daniel;  Ingole, Vijendra;  Ballester, Joan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Aerosol-photolysis interaction reduces particulate matter during wintertime haze events 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (18) : 9755-9761
作者:  Wu, Jiarui;  Bei, Naifang;  Hu, Bo;  Liu, Suixin;  Wang, Yuan;  Shen, Zhenxing;  Li, Xia;  Liu, Lang;  Wang, Ruonan;  Liu, Zirui;  Cao, Junji;  Tie, Xuexi;  Molina, Luisa T.;  Li, Guohui
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
particulate pollution  aerosol-radiation interaction  aerosol-photolysis interaction  
Fire deficit increases wildfire risk for many communities in the Canadian boreal forest 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Parisien, Marc-Andre;  Barber, Quinn E.;  Hirsch, Kelvin G.;  Stockdale, Christopher A.;  Erni, Sandy;  Wang, Xianli;  Arseneault, Dominique;  Parks, Sean A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Extreme rainfall triggered the 2018 rift eruption at Kilauea Volcano 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 491-+
作者:  Cloutier, Richard;  Clement, Alice M.;  Lee, Michael S. Y.;  Noel, Roxanne;  Bechard, Isabelle;  Roy, Vincent;  Long, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The May 2018 rift intrusion and eruption of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'  i, represented one of its most extraordinary eruptive sequences in at least 200 years, yet the trigger mechanism remains elusive(1). The event was preceded by several months of anomalously high precipitation. It has been proposed that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity(2,3), but it remains unknown whether it can have impacts at the greater depths associated with magma transport. Here we show that immediately before and during the eruption, infiltration of rainfall into Kilauea Volcano'  s subsurface increased pore pressure at depths of 1 to 3 kilometres by 0.1 to 1 kilopascals, to its highest pressure in almost 50 years. We propose that weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice was driven by changes in pore pressure within the rift zone, prompting opportunistic dyke intrusion and ultimately facilitating the eruption. A precipitation-induced eruption trigger is consistent with the lack of precursory summit inflation, showing that this intrusion-unlike others-was not caused by the forceful intrusion of new magma into the rift zone. Moreover, statistical analysis of historic eruption occurrence suggests that rainfall patterns contribute substantially to the timing and frequency of Kilauea'  s eruptions and intrusions. Thus, volcanic activity can be modulated by extreme rainfall triggering edifice rock failure-a factor that should be considered when assessing volcanic hazards. Notably, the increasingly extreme weather patterns associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change could increase the potential for rainfall-triggered volcanic phenomena worldwide.


Immediately before and during the eruption of Ki & x304  lauea Volcano in May 2018, anomalously high rainfall increased the pore pressure in the subsurface to its highest level in 50 years, causing weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice.


  
Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 582 (7811) : 185-186
作者:  Tollefson, Jeff
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Climate sensitivity to atmospheric CO2 levels is likely to be high.


Six-hour weather forecasts have been used to validate estimates of climate change hundreds of years from now. Such tests have great potential - but only if our weather-forecasting and climate-prediction systems are unified.


  
Nutrient dilution and climate cycles underlie declines in a dominant insect herbivore 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (13) : 7271-7275
作者:  Welti, Ellen A. R.;  Roeder, Karl A.;  de Beurs, Kirsten M.;  Joern, Anthony;  Kaspari, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
insect decline  global change  grasshopper  Acrididae  grassland