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Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7817) : 560-+
作者:  ;  nter Blö;  schl;  Andrea Kiss;  Alberto Viglione;  Mariano Barriendos;  Oliver Bö;  hm;  Rudolf Brá;  zdil;  Denis Coeur;  Gaston Demaré;  e;  Maria Carmen Llasat;  Neil Macdonald;  Dag Retsö;  Lars Roald;  Petra Schmocker-Fackel;  Inê;  s Amorim;  Monika Bě;  ;  nová;  Gerardo Benito;  Chiara Bertolin;  Dario Camuffo;  Daniel Cornel;  Radosł;  aw Doktor;  ;  bor Elleder;  Silvia Enzi;  Joã;  o Carlos Garcia;  ;  diger Glaser;  Julia Hall;  Klaus Haslinger;  Michael Hofstä;  tter;  ;  rgen Komma;  Danuta Limanó;  wka;  David Lun;  Andrei Panin;  Juraj Parajka;  Hrvoje Petrić;  Fernando S. Rodrigo;  Christian Rohr;  Johannes Schö;  nbein;  Lothar Schulte;  Luí;  s Pedro Silva;  Willem H. J. Toonen;  Peter Valent;  ;  rgen Waser;  Oliver Wetter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:40/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

There are concerns that recent climate change is altering the frequency and magnitude of river floods in an unprecedented way(1). Historical studies have identified flood-rich periods in the past half millennium in various regions of Europe(2). However, because of the low temporal resolution of existing datasets and the relatively low number of series, it has remained unclear whether Europe is currently in a flood-rich period from a long-term perspective. Here we analyse how recent decades compare with the flood history of Europe, using a new database composed of more than 100 high-resolution (sub-annual) historical flood series based on documentary evidence covering all major regions of Europe. We show that the past three decades were among the most flood-rich periods in Europe in the past 500 years, and that this period differs from other flood-rich periods in terms of its extent, air temperatures and flood seasonality. We identified nine flood-rich periods and associated regions. Among the periods richest in floods are 1560-1580 (western and central Europe), 1760-1800 (most of Europe), 1840-1870 (western and southern Europe) and 1990-2016 (western and central Europe). In most parts of Europe, previous flood-rich periods occurred during cooler-than-usual phases, but the current flood-rich period has been much warmer. Flood seasonality is also more pronounced in the recent period. For example, during previous flood and interflood periods, 41 per cent and 42 per cent of central European floods occurred in summer, respectively, compared with 55 per cent of floods in the recent period. The exceptional nature of the present-day flood-rich period calls for process-based tools for flood-risk assessment that capture the physical mechanisms involved, and management strategies that can incorporate the recent changes in risk.


Analysis of thousands of historical documents recording floods in Europe shows that flooding characteristics in recent decades are unlike those of previous centuries.


  
A transition to sustainable ocean governance 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Rudolph, Tanya Brodie;  Ruckelshaus, Mary;  Swilling, Mark;  Allison, Edward H.;  Osterblom, Henrik;  Gelcich, Stefan;  Mbatha, Philile
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Long-term droughts may drive drier tropical forests towards increased functional, taxonomic and phylogenetic homogeneity 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Aguirre-Gutierrez, Jesus;  Malhi, Yadvinder;  Lewis, Simon L.;  Fauset, Sophie;  Adu-Bredu, Stephen;  Affum-Baffoe, Kofi;  Baker, Timothy R.;  Gvozdevaite, Agne;  Hubau, Wannes;  Moore, Sam;  Peprah, Theresa;  Zieminska, Kasia;  Phillips, Oliver L.;  Oliveras, Imma
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/06
An encrusting kleptoparasite-host interaction from the early Cambrian 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Zhang, Zhifei;  Strotz, Luke C.;  Topper, Timothy P.;  Chen, Feiyang;  Chen, Yanlong;  Liang, Yue;  Zhang, Zhiliang;  Skovsted, Christian B.;  Brock, Glenn A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
Global variation in the thermal tolerances of plants 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (24) : 13580-13587
作者:  Lancaster, Lesley T.;  Humphreys, Aelys M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
macrophysiology  cold and heat  hardening  temperature  latitude  
Frequent mutations that converge on the NFKBIZ pathway in ulcerative colitis 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 260-+
作者:  Kakiuchi, Nobuyuki;  Yoshida, Kenichi;  Uchino, Motoi;  Kihara, Takako;  Akaki, Kotaro;  Inoue, Yoshikage;  Kawada, Kenji;  Nagayama, Satoshi;  Yokoyama, Akira;  Yamamoto, Shuji;  Matsuura, Minoru;  Horimatsu, Takahiro;  Hirano, Tomonori;  Goto, Norihiro;  Takeuchi, Yasuhide;  Ochi, Yotaro;  Shiozawa, Yusuke;  Kogure, Yasunori;  Watatani, Yosaku;  Fujii, Yoichi;  Kim, Soo Ki;  Kon, Ayana;  Kataoka, Keisuke;  Yoshizato, Tetsuichi;  Nakagawa, Masahiro M.;  Yoda, Akinori;  Nanya, Yasuhito;  Makishima, Hideki;  Shiraishi, Yuichi;  Chiba, Kenichi;  Tanaka, Hiroko;  Sanada, Masashi;  Sugihara, Eiji;  Sato, Taka-aki;  Maruyama, Takashi;  Miyoshi, Hiroyuki;  Taketo, Makoto Mark;  Oishi, Jun;  Inagaki, Ryosaku;  Ueda, Yutaka;  Okamoto, Shinya;  Okajima, Hideaki;  Sakai, Yoshiharu;  Sakurai, Takaki;  Haga, Hironori;  Hirota, Seiichi;  Ikeuchi, Hiroki;  Nakase, Hiroshi;  Marusawa, Hiroyuki;  Chiba, Tsutomu;  Takeuchi, Osamu;  Miyano, Satoru;  Seno, Hiroshi;  Ogawa, Seishi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:78/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Chronic inflammation is accompanied by recurring cycles of tissue destruction and repair and is associated with an increased risk of cancer(1-3). However, how such cycles affect the clonal composition of tissues, particularly in terms of cancer development, remains unknown. Here we show that in patients with ulcerative colitis, the inflamed intestine undergoes widespread remodelling by pervasive clones, many of which are positively selected by acquiring mutations that commonly involve the NFKBIZ, TRAF3IP2, ZC3H12A, PIGR and HNRNPF genes and are implicated in the downregulation of IL-17 and other pro-inflammatory signals. Mutational profiles vary substantially between colitis-associated cancer and non-dysplastic tissues in ulcerative colitis, which indicates that there are distinct mechanisms of positive selection in both tissues. In particular, mutations in NFKBIZ are highly prevalent in the epithelium of patients with ulcerative colitis but rarely found in both sporadic and colitis-associated cancer, indicating that NFKBIZ-mutant cells are selected against during colorectal carcinogenesis. In further support of this negative selection, we found that tumour formation was significantly attenuated in Nfkbiz-mutant mice and cell competition was compromised by disruption of NFKBIZ in human colorectal cancer cells. Our results highlight common and discrete mechanisms of clonal selection in inflammatory tissues, which reveal unexpected cancer vulnerabilities that could potentially be exploited for therapeutics in colorectal cancer.


  
Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (23) : 12915-12922
作者:  Barfuss, Wolfra;  Donges, Jonathan F.;  Vasconcelos, Vitor V.;  Kurths, Juergen;  Levin, Simon A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
social dilemma  stochastic game  tipping element  time preferences  
Rapid growth of new atmospheric particles by nitric acid and ammonia condensation 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7807) : 184-+
作者:  Liang, Guanxiang;  Zhao, Chunyu;  Zhang, Huanjia;  Mattei, Lisa;  Sherrill-Mix, Scott;  Bittinger, Kyle;  Kessler, Lyanna R.;  Wu, Gary D.;  Baldassano, Robert N.;  DeRusso, Patricia;  Ford, Eileen;  Elovitz, Michal A.;  Kelly, Matthew S.;  Patel, Mohamed Z.;  Mazhani, Tiny;  Gerber, Jeffrey S.;  Kelly, Andrea;  Zemel, Babette S.;  Bushman, Frederic D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20

A list of authors and their affiliations appears at the end of the paper New-particle formation is a major contributor to urban smog(1,2), but how it occurs in cities is often puzzling(3). If the growth rates of urban particles are similar to those found in cleaner environments (1-10 nanometres per hour), then existing understanding suggests that new urban particles should be rapidly scavenged by the high concentration of pre-existing particles. Here we show, through experiments performed under atmospheric conditions in the CLOUD chamber at CERN, that below about +5 degrees Celsius, nitric acid and ammonia vapours can condense onto freshly nucleated particles as small as a few nanometres in diameter. Moreover, when it is cold enough (below -15 degrees Celsius), nitric acid and ammonia can nucleate directly through an acid-base stabilization mechanism to form ammonium nitrate particles. Given that these vapours are often one thousand times more abundant than sulfuric acid, the resulting particle growth rates can be extremely high, reaching well above 100 nanometres per hour. However, these high growth rates require the gas-particle ammonium nitrate system to be out of equilibrium in order to sustain gas-phase supersaturations. In view of the strong temperature dependence that we measure for the gas-phase supersaturations, we expect such transient conditions to occur in inhomogeneous urban settings, especially in wintertime, driven by vertical mixing and by strong local sources such as traffic. Even though rapid growth from nitric acid and ammonia condensation may last for only a few minutes, it is nonetheless fast enough to shepherd freshly nucleated particles through the smallest size range where they are most vulnerable to scavenging loss, thus greatly increasing their survival probability. We also expect nitric acid and ammonia nucleation and rapid growth to be important in the relatively clean and cold upper free troposphere, where ammonia can be convected from the continental boundary layer and nitric acid is abundant from electrical storms(4,5).


  
Infrared spectroscopy finally sees the light 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 34-35
作者:  Barth, Andreas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03
Global CO2 emissions from dry inland waters share common drivers across ecosystems 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Keller, P. S.;  Catalan, N.;  von Schiller, D.;  Grossart, H-P;  Koschorreck, M.;  Obrador, B.;  Frassl, M. A.;  Karakaya, N.;  Barros, N.;  Howitt, J. A.;  Mendoza-Lera, C.;  Pastor, A.;  Flaim, G.;  Aben, R.;  Riis, T.;  Arce, M., I;  Onandia, G.;  Paranaiba, J. R.;  Linkhorst, A.;  del Campo, R.;  Amado, A. M.;  Cauvy-Fraunie, S.;  Brothers, S.;  Condon, J.;  Mendonca, R. F.;  Reverey, F.;  Room, E-, I;  Datry, T.;  Roland, F.;  Laas, A.;  Obertegger, U.;  Park, J-H;  Wang, H.;  Kosten, S.;  Gomez, R.;  Feijoo, C.;  Elosegi, A.;  Sanchez-Montoya, M. M.;  Finlayson, C. M.;  Melita, M.;  Oliveira Junior, E. S.;  Muniz, C. C.;  Gomez-Gener, L.;  Leigh, C.;  Zhang, Q.;  Marce, R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13