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Human influence on joint changes in temperature, rainfall and continental aridity 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Bonfils, Celine J. W.;  Santer, Benjamin D.;  Fyfe, John C.;  Marvel, Kate;  Phillips, Thomas J.;  Zimmerman, Susan R. H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/09
Quantifying the uncertainty introduced by internal climate variability in projections of Canadian crop production 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Qian, Budong;  Jing, Qi;  Smith, Ward;  Grant, Brian;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Zhang, Xuebin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change impacts  crop production  crop modelling  internal climate variability  uncertainty  
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects (vol 89, pg 516, 2020) 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Deser, C.;  Lehner, F.;  Rodgers, K. B.;  Ault, T.;  Delworth, T. L.;  DiNezio, P. N.;  Fiore, A.;  Frankignoul, C.;  Fyfe, J. C.;  Horton, D. E.;  Kay, J. E.;  Knutti, R.;  Lovenduski, N. S.;  Marotzke, J.;  McKinnon, K. A.;  Minobe, S.;  Randerson, J.;  Screen, J. A.;  Simpson, I. R.;  Ting, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/29
A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
Human influence has intensified extreme precipitation in North America 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (24) : 13308-13313
作者:  Kirchmeier-Young, Megan C.;  Zhang, Xuebin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
extreme precipitation  attribution  regional climate change  
Comparison and Verification of Point-Wise and Patch-Wise Localized Probability-Matched Mean Algorithms for Ensemble Consensus Precipitation Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Snook, Nathan;  Kong, Fanyou;  Clark, Adam;  Roberts, Brett;  Brewster, Keith A.;  Xue, Ming
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/01
The Influence of Internal Climate Variability on Projections of Synoptically Driven Beijing Haze 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Callahan, Christopher W.;  Mankin, Justin S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
air quality  large ensembles  internal variability  health impacts  China  
Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Watson-Parris, D.;  Bellouin, N.;  Deaconu, L. T.;  Schutgens, N. A. J.;  Yoshioka, M.;  Regayre, L. A.;  Pringle, K. J.;  Johnson, J. S.;  Smith, C. J.;  Carslaw, K. S.;  Stier, P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
aerosol  forcing  
Multi-model ensemble predictions of precipitation and temperature using machine learning algorithms 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Ahmed, Kamal;  Sachindra, D. A.;  Shahid, Shamsuddin;  Iqbal, Zafar;  Nawaz, Nadeem;  Khan, Najeebullah
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
General circulation models  Multi-model ensemble  Taylor skill score  Machine learning algorithms  Temperature and precipitation  Pakistan  
Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Maher, Nicola;  Lehner, Flavio;  Marotzke, Jochem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
internal variability  SMILEs  large ensembles  short-term projections  mid-term projections  surface temperature  model differences