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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 983-+
作者:  Mankin, Justin S.;  Seager, Richard;  Smerdon, Jason E.;  Cook, Benjamin I.;  Williams, A. Park
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
An Implicit Algebraic Turbulence Closure Scheme for Atmospheric Boundary Layer Simulation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (11) : 3367-3386
作者:  Shi, Xiaoming;  Enriquez, Rica Mae;  Street, Robert L.;  Bryan, George H.;  Chow, Fotini Katopodes
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Turbulence  Boundary layer  Cloud resolving models  Large eddy simulations  Parameterization  Subgrid-scale processes  
Modulational Stability of Nonlinear Saturated Gravity Waves 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (11) : 3327-3336
作者:  Schlutow, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Internal waves  Mountain waves  Nonlinear dynamics  Stability  Turbulence  Nonlinear models  
Turbulent electric current in the marine convective atmospheric boundary layer 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 86-94
作者:  Anisimov, S. V.;  Galichenko, S. V.;  Prokhorchuk, A. A.;  Aphinogenov, K. V.;  Kozmina, A. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmospheric electricity  Marine atmospheric boundary layer  Turbulent electric current  Space charge  Lagrangian stochastic model  
Emergent constraints on Earth's transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (11) : 902-+
作者:  Jimenez-de-la-Cuesta, Diego;  Mauritsen, Thorsten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Extreme, wintertime Saharan dust intrusion in the Iberian Peninsula: Lidar monitoring and evaluation of dust forecast models during the February 2017 event 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 223-241
作者:  Fernandez, Alfonso J.;  Sicard, Michael;  Costa, Maria J.;  Guerrero-Rascado, Juan L.;  Gomez-Amo, Jose L.;  Molero, Francisco;  Barragan, Ruben;  Basart, Sara;  Bortoli, Daniele;  Bedoya-Velasquez, Andres E.;  Utrillas, Maria P.;  Salvador, Pedro;  Granados-Munoz, Maria J.;  Potes, Miguel;  Ortiz-Amezcua, Pablo;  Martinez-Lozano, Jose A.;  Artinano, Begona;  Munoz-Porcar, Constantino;  Salgado, Rui;  Roman, Roberto;  Rocadenbosch, Francesc;  Salgueiro, Vanda;  Benavent-Oltra, Jose A.;  Rodriguez-Gomez, Alejandro;  Alados-Arboledas, Lucas;  Comeron, Adolfo;  Pujadas, Manuel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Extreme Saharan dust intrusion  Particle optical properties  Sun-photometer  Multi-wavelength lidar  Dust forecast model  Model evaluation  Vertical distribution  
Projecting drought characteristics over East African basins at specific global warming levels 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 41-54
作者:  Nguvava, Mariam;  Abiodun, Babatunde J.;  Otieno, Francis
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Africa  Drought  Simulations  Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration  Index  River basins  
Parameterization of Directional Absorption of Orographic Gravity Waves and Its Impact on the Atmospheric General Circulation Simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (11) : 3435-3453
作者:  Xu, Xin;  Xue, Ming;  Teixeira, Miguel A. C.;  Tang, Jianping;  Wang, Yuan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Gravity waves  Mountain waves  General circulation models  Parameterization  Subgrid-scale processes  
Sensitivity of Lake-Effect Cloud Microphysical Processes to Ice Crystal Habit and Nucleation during OWLeS IOP4 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (11) : 3411-3434
作者:  Gaudet, Lauriana C.;  Sulia, Kara J.;  Yu, Fangqun;  Luo, Gan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Ice crystals  Mesoscale systems  Sensitivity studies  Cloud parameterizations  Lake effects