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A Hierarchical Statistical Framework for Emergent Constraints: Application to Snow-Albedo Feedback 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (23) : 13050-13059
作者:  Bowman, Kevin W.;  Cressie, Noel;  Qu, Xin;  Hall, Alex
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (23) : 13124-13132
作者:  Jucker, M.;  Reichler, T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Tsunami versus Infragravity Surge: Comparison of the Physical Character of Extreme Runup 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (23) : 12982-12990
作者:  Montoya, Luis;  Lynett, Patrick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Uncertainty Analysis of Simulations of the Turn-of-the-Century Drought in the Western United States 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13219-13237
作者:  Anderson, Gemma J.;  Lucas, Donald D.;  Bonfils, Celine
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
drought  uncertainty quantification  western United States  CAM4  
Soil heterotrophic respiration: Measuring and modeling seasonal variation and silvicultural impacts 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2018, 430: 594-608
作者:  Brown, Robert;  Markewitz, Daniel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Heterotrophic respiration  Soil respiration  Loblolly pine  DAYCENT  Silviculture  
Partial least regression approach to forecast the East Asian winter monsoon using Eurasian snow cover and sea surface temperature 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4573-4584
作者:  Yu, Lulu;  Wu, Zhiwei;  Zhang, Renhe;  Yang, Xin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Statistical model  East Asian winter monsoon  Seasonal prediction  
An advanced impact of Arctic stratospheric ozone changes on spring precipitation in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4029-4041
作者:  Xie, Fei;  Ma, Xuan;  Li, Jianping;  Huang, Jinlong;  Tian, Wenshou;  Zhang, Jiankai;  Hu, Yongyun;  Sun, Cheng;  Zhou, Xin;  Feng, Juan;  Yang, Yun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
The 'pause' in global warming in historical context: (II). Comparing models to observations 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Lewandowsky, Stephan;  Cowtan, Kevin;  Risbey, James S.;  Mann, Michael E.;  Steinman, Byron A.;  Oreskes, Naomi;  Rahmstorf, Stefan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate models  climate projections  '  pause'  in global warming  
Systematic errors in northern Eurasian short-term weather forecasts induced by atmospheric boundary layer thickness 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Esau, Igor;  Tolstykh, Mikhail;  Fadeev, Rostislav;  Shashkin, Vladimir;  Makhnorylova, Svetlana;  Miles, Victoria;  Melnikov, Vladimir
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
atmospheric boundary layer  numerical weather prediction model  high-latitude weather forecast  scaling factor  
Characterizing climate change risks by linking robust decision frameworks and uncertain probabilistic projections 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2018, 151: 525-539
作者:  Shortridge, Julie E.;  Zaitchik, Benjamin F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Risks  Uncertainty  Adaptation  Probabilistic projections  Robust decision-making