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A future land use simulation model (FLUS) for simulating multiple land use scenarios by coupling human and natural effects 期刊论文
LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING, 2017, 168
作者:  Liu, Xiaoping;  Liang, Xun;  Li, Xia;  Xu, Xiaocong;  Ou, Jinpei;  Chen, Yimin;  Li, Shaoying;  Wang, Shaojian;  Pei, Fengsong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Land use and land cover change  Land use simulation  System dynamics  Cellular automata  FLUS  Human and natural effects  
Climate-driven geographic distribution of the desert locust during recession periods: Subspecies' niche differentiation and relative risks under scenarios of climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (11)
作者:  Meynard, Christine N.;  Gay, Pierre-Emmanuel;  Lecoq, Michel;  Foucart, Antoine;  Piou, Cyril;  Chapuis, Marie-Pierre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
agriculture  forecasting  niche differentiation  niche overlap  pest  phase polyphenism  Schistocerca gregaria  species distribution models  
Climatic changes can drive the loss of genetic diversity in a Neotropical savanna tree species 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (11)
作者:  Lima, Jacqueline S.;  Ballesteros-Mejia, Liliana;  Lima-Ribeiro, Matheus S.;  Collevatti, Rosane G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Bayesian clustering  Cerrado  conservation genetics  ecological niche modelling  global warming  land use  landscape genetics  simulation  
Asymmetric responses of primary productivity to precipitation extremes: A synthesis of grassland precipitation manipulation experiments 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (10)
作者:  Wilcox, Kevin R.;  Shi, Zheng;  Gherardi, Laureano A.;  Lemoine, Nathan P.;  Koerner, Sally E.;  Hoover, David L.;  Bork, Edward;  Byrne, Kerry M.;  Cahill, James, Jr.;  Collins, Scott L.;  Evans, Sarah;  Gilgen, Anna K.;  Holub, Petr;  Jiang, Lifen;  Knapp, Alan K.;  LeCain, Daniel;  Liang, Junyi;  Garcia-Palacios, Pablo;  Penuelas, Josep;  Pockman, William T.;  Smith, Melinda D.;  Sun, Shanghua;  White, Shannon R.;  Yahdjian, Laura;  Zhu, Kai;  Luo, Yiqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
aboveground net primary productivity  belowground net primary productivity  biomass allocation  climate change  grasslands  meta-analysis  root biomass  
Potential for an Arctic-breeding migratory bird to adjust spring migration phenology to Arctic amplification 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (10)
作者:  Lameris, Thomas K.;  Scholten, Ilse;  Bauer, Silke;  Cobben, Marleen M. P.;  Ens, Bruno J.;  Nolet, Bart A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Branta leucopsis  climate change  dynamic state variable model  global warming  mistimed arrival  
Anticipating changes to future connectivity within a network of marine protected areas 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (9)
作者:  Coleman, Melinda A.;  Cetina-Heredia, Paulina;  Roughan, Moninya;  Feng, Ming;  van Sebille, Erik;  Kelaher, Brendan P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Centrostephanus rodgersii  climate change  dispersal  Ecklonia radiata  kelp  marine reserve  ocean currents  urchin  
A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (9)
作者:  Mahony, Colin R.;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Wang, Tongli;  Aitken, Sally N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
bioclimate  climate change  climate envelope  Mahalanobis distance  model extrapolation  no-analog  novel climates  species distribution modeling  
Hydrologic impacts of changes in climate and glacier extent in the Gulf of Alaska watershed 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (9)
作者:  Beamer, J. P.;  Hill, D. F.;  McGrath, D.;  Arendt, A.;  Kienholz, C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Gulf of Alaska  climatic changes  hydrologic models  hydrologic cycle  cryosphere  
Climatic and physiographic controls of spatial variability in surface water balance over the contiguous United States using the Budyko relationship 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (9)
作者:  Abatzoglou, John T.;  Ficklin, Darren L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate data  hydroclimate  water balance  
Legacy effects and memory loss: how contingencies moderate the response of rocky intertidal biofilms to present and past extreme events 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (8)
作者:  Dal Bello, Martina;  Rindi, Luca;  Benedetti-Cecchi, Lisandro
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
antecedent conditions  biofilm  ecological memory  epilithic microphytobenthos  extreme climatic events  grazing  hierarchical Bayesian model  legacy effects  temporal clustering