Climate Risk Indicators: developing indicators of climate risk using UKCP18 to support risk assessments and enhance resilience

GSTDTAP

项目编号	NE/S016481/1
	Climate Risk Indicators: developing indicators of climate risk using UKCP18 to support risk assessments and enhance resilience
	Nigel Arnell
主持机构	University of Reading
项目开始年	2019
	2019-02-01
项目结束日期	2020-01-31
资助机构	UK-NERC
项目类别	Research Grant
项目经费	125351(GBP)
国家	英国
英文摘要	In order to enhance resilience to weather events and climate change, it is necessary to assess risk. This project provides first estimates of a series of indicators of climate risk, using UKCP18, relevant to climate risk assessments at national, devolved, and local levels, and over different time horizons. It will provide information valuable to the next Climate Change Risk Assessment, and help organisations understand their current and future risks. The project will also provide information about the relationship between future increases in temperature and future risk. For some indicators, risk will increase rapidly as temperature increases, but for others risk may only begin to increase significantly at higher temperature increases. Changes in risk will also be uncertain because we cannot yet predict future climate very precisely, so the project will also allow us to assess the confidence in projections of future risk. The project uses the new UKCP18 climate projections, and concentrates in the first instance on risks of weather extremes, floods and droughts, and risks to agricultural productivity.
URL	查看原文
文献类型	项目
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/87438
专题	环境与发展全球科技态势
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nigel Arnell.Climate Risk Indicators: developing indicators of climate risk using UKCP18 to support risk assessments and enhance resilience.2019.