Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics

doi:10.7249/RR1253

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR1253
报告编号	RR-1253-A
	Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics
	David A. Shlapak; Michael Johnson
	2016
出版年	2016
页数	16
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	Russia's recent aggression against Ukraine has disrupted nearly a generation of relative peace and stability between Moscow and its Western neighbors and raised concerns about its larger intentions. From the perspective of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the threat to the three Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania — former Soviet republics, now member states that border Russian territory — may be the most problematic of these. In a series of war games conducted between summer 2014 and spring 2015, RAND Arroyo Center examined the shape and probable outcome of a near-term Russian invasion of the Baltic states. The games' findings are unambiguous: As presently postured, NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members. Fortunately, it will not require Herculean effort to avoid such a failure. Further gaming indicates that a force of about seven brigades, including three heavy armored brigades — adequately supported by airpower, land-based fires, and other enablers on the ground and ready to fight at the onset of hostilities — could suffice to prevent the rapid overrun of the Baltic states.
英文关键词	Russia North Atlantic Treaty Organization Threat Assessment Latvia Lithuania Wargaming Estonia
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来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4465
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	David A. Shlapak,Michael Johnson. Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics:RAND Corporation,2016.