Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.7249/RR1253 |
报告编号 | RR-1253-A |
Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics | |
David A. Shlapak; Michael Johnson | |
2016 | |
出版年 | 2016 |
页数 | 16 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
出版者 | RAND Corporation |
领域 | 资源环境 |
英文摘要 | Russia's recent aggression against Ukraine has disrupted nearly a generation of relative peace and stability between Moscow and its Western neighbors and raised concerns about its larger intentions. From the perspective of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the threat to the three Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania — former Soviet republics, now member states that border Russian territory — may be the most problematic of these. In a series of war games conducted between summer 2014 and spring 2015, RAND Arroyo Center examined the shape and probable outcome of a near-term Russian invasion of the Baltic states. The games' findings are unambiguous: As presently postured, NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members. Fortunately, it will not require Herculean effort to avoid such a failure. Further gaming indicates that a force of about seven brigades, including three heavy armored brigades — adequately supported by airpower, land-based fires, and other enablers on the ground and ready to fight at the onset of hostilities — could suffice to prevent the rapid overrun of the Baltic states. |
英文关键词 | Russia North Atlantic Treaty Organization Threat Assessment Latvia Lithuania Wargaming Estonia |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | Rand Corporation |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4465 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David A. Shlapak,Michael Johnson. Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics:RAND Corporation,2016. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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