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DOI10.7249/RR896
报告编号RR-896-RC
Are Changing Constituencies Driving Rising Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives?
Jesse Sussell; James A. Thomson
2015
出版年2015
页数62
语种英语
国家美国
出版者RAND Corporation
领域资源环境
英文摘要This report addresses two questions: first, whether the spatial distribution of the American electorate has become more geographically clustered over the last 40 years with respect to party voting and socioeconomic attributes; and second, whether this clustering process has contributed to rising polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives. We find support for both hypotheses and estimate that long-term geographical clustering of voters is responsible for roughly 30 percent of the increase in polarization in the House between the 93rd and 112th Congresses. An important ancillary finding is that the within-district percentage of adults who are married dwarfs other socioeconomic variables — including those measuring race, education, income, and urbanicity — as a predictor of local partisanship, as measured by both the party affiliation of the House representative and the presidential vote share.
英文关键词United States Alumni Demography RAND-initiated Regression Analysis Democracy
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来源平台Rand Corporation
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文献类型科技报告
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4036
专题资源环境科学
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Jesse Sussell,James A. Thomson. Are Changing Constituencies Driving Rising Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives?:RAND Corporation,2015.
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