GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.01.003
Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach
Bagirov, Adil M.; Mahmood, Arshad; Barton, Andrew
2017-05-15
发表期刊ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
ISSN0169-8095
EISSN1873-2895
出版年2017
卷号188
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia
英文摘要

This paper develops the Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR) technique for prediction of monthly rainfall. The CLR is a combination of clustering and regression techniques. It is formulated as an optimization problem and an incremental algorithm is designed to solve it. The algorithm is applied to predict monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia using rainfall data with five input meteorological variables over the period of 1889-2014 from eight geographically diverse weather stations. The prediction performance of the CLR method is evaluated by comparing observed and predicted rainfall values using four measures of forecast accuracy. The proposed method is also compared with the CLR using the maximum likelihood framework by the expectation-maximization algorithm, multiple linear regression, artificial neural networks and the support vector machines for regression models using computational results. The results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms other methods in most locations. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Rainfall prediction Prediction models Regression analysis Cluster analysis Clusterwise linear regression
领域地球科学
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000395609200003
WOS关键词ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK ; MODEL ; ARIMA ; PRECIPITATION ; OPTIMIZATION ; QUEENSLAND ; FORECAST ; RUNOFF ; INDIA
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
被引频次:56[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/38451
专题地球科学
作者单位Fed Univ Australia, Fac Sci & Technol, Univ Dr,Mount Helen, Ballarat, Vic 3353, Australia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bagirov, Adil M.,Mahmood, Arshad,Barton, Andrew. Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach[J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,2017,188.
APA Bagirov, Adil M.,Mahmood, Arshad,&Barton, Andrew.(2017).Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,188.
MLA Bagirov, Adil M.,et al."Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 188(2017).
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