Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.01.003 |
Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach | |
Bagirov, Adil M.; Mahmood, Arshad; Barton, Andrew | |
2017-05-15 | |
发表期刊 | ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
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ISSN | 0169-8095 |
EISSN | 1873-2895 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 188 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia |
英文摘要 | This paper develops the Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR) technique for prediction of monthly rainfall. The CLR is a combination of clustering and regression techniques. It is formulated as an optimization problem and an incremental algorithm is designed to solve it. The algorithm is applied to predict monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia using rainfall data with five input meteorological variables over the period of 1889-2014 from eight geographically diverse weather stations. The prediction performance of the CLR method is evaluated by comparing observed and predicted rainfall values using four measures of forecast accuracy. The proposed method is also compared with the CLR using the maximum likelihood framework by the expectation-maximization algorithm, multiple linear regression, artificial neural networks and the support vector machines for regression models using computational results. The results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms other methods in most locations. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Rainfall prediction Prediction models Regression analysis Cluster analysis Clusterwise linear regression |
领域 | 地球科学 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000395609200003 |
WOS关键词 | ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK ; MODEL ; ARIMA ; PRECIPITATION ; OPTIMIZATION ; QUEENSLAND ; FORECAST ; RUNOFF ; INDIA |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/38451 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
作者单位 | Fed Univ Australia, Fac Sci & Technol, Univ Dr,Mount Helen, Ballarat, Vic 3353, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bagirov, Adil M.,Mahmood, Arshad,Barton, Andrew. Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach[J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,2017,188. |
APA | Bagirov, Adil M.,Mahmood, Arshad,&Barton, Andrew.(2017).Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,188. |
MLA | Bagirov, Adil M.,et al."Prediction of monthly rainfall in Victoria, Australia: Clusterwise linear regression approach".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 188(2017). |
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