Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.11.031 |
The ARPAL operational high resolution Poor Man's Ensemble, description and validation | |
Corazza, Matteo1; Sacchetti, Davide1; Antonelli, Marta1; Drofa, Oxana2 | |
2018-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
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ISSN | 0169-8095 |
EISSN | 1873-2895 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 203页码:1-15 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Italy |
英文摘要 | The Meteo Hydrological Functional Center for Civil Protection of the Environmental Protection Agency of the Liguria Region is responsible for issuing forecasts primarily aimed at the Civil Protection needs. Several deterministic high resolution models, run every 6 or 12 h, are regularly used in the Center to elaborate weather forecasts at short to medium range. The Region is frequently affected by severe flash floods over its very small basins, characterized by a steep orography close to the sea. These conditions led the Center in the past years to pay particular attention to the use and development of high resolution model chains for explicit simulation of convective phenomena. For years, the availability of several models has been used by the forecasters for subjective analyses of the potential evolution of the atmosphere and of its uncertainty. More recently, an Interactive Poor Man's Ensemble has been developed, aimed at providing statistical ensemble variables to help forecaster's evaluations. In this paper the structure of this system is described and results are validated using the regional dense ground observational network. |
英文关键词 | Ensemble forecasting Numerical weather prediction Precipitation verification Poor Man' s Ensemble Operational weather forecasting |
领域 | 地球科学 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426226400001 |
WOS关键词 | CONVECTION-PERMITTING ENSEMBLE ; PRECIPITATION FORECAST SKILL ; LATERAL BOUNDARY-CONDITIONS ; CLOUD-RESOLVING MODELS ; PREDICTION SYSTEM ; HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; ALPINE REGION ; MESOSCALE ; PREDICTABILITY ; PERTURBATIONS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/38331 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
作者单位 | 1.ARPAL, Genoa, Italy; 2.CNR, ISAC, Bologna, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Corazza, Matteo,Sacchetti, Davide,Antonelli, Marta,et al. The ARPAL operational high resolution Poor Man's Ensemble, description and validation[J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,2018,203:1-15. |
APA | Corazza, Matteo,Sacchetti, Davide,Antonelli, Marta,&Drofa, Oxana.(2018).The ARPAL operational high resolution Poor Man's Ensemble, description and validation.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,203,1-15. |
MLA | Corazza, Matteo,et al."The ARPAL operational high resolution Poor Man's Ensemble, description and validation".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 203(2018):1-15. |
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