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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaea09 |
Climate effects of stringent air pollution controls mitigate future maize losses in China | |
Zhang, Tianyi1; Yue, Xu2; Li, Tao3; Unger, Nadine4; Yang, Xiaoguang5 | |
2018-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:12 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; USA; England |
英文摘要 | Future anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions determine climate change in China, which influences crop growth and food production. However, very few studies have investigated their combined climate impacts on crop yields. Here, we apply a process-based modeling approach to examine potential climatic impacts of air pollution controls on maize yields in China for two future scenarios in the 2030s. The model suggests that reducing aerosol pollution emissions increases radiation, temperature and precipitation. Increased radiation and precipitation enhance yields while higher temperature reduces yields. These contrasting climate effects offset each other, leading to varied spatial responses in yields. Following the current legislation emission scenario, maize yield declines by 2.3% because air pollution shows only moderate reductions and the higher future temperature exerts the dominant detrimental impacts. In contrast, with the maximum technically feasible reduction scenario, the maize yield is projected to increase by 4.4% relative to the current level, because the benefit of increased radiation and precipitation outweighs the detrimental impacts of warming. Our results suggest that stringent aerosol pollution regulations can help mitigate maize yield losses in China due to the future climate warming. |
英文关键词 | aerosol pollution aerosol control policies aerosol control technologies NASA ModelE2-YIBs APSIM maize |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000451763100003 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE GASES ; SOLAR-RADIATION ; AEROSOLS ; IMPACTS ; DROUGHT ; CLOUDS ; YIELDS ; HAZE ; CO2 |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37637 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Atmospher Boundary Layer Phys & Atm, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Climate Change Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Appl GeoSolut, 87 Packers Falls Rd, Durham, NH 03824 USA; 4.Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter EX4 4QE, Devon, England; 5.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Tianyi,Yue, Xu,Li, Tao,et al. Climate effects of stringent air pollution controls mitigate future maize losses in China[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(12). |
APA | Zhang, Tianyi,Yue, Xu,Li, Tao,Unger, Nadine,&Yang, Xiaoguang.(2018).Climate effects of stringent air pollution controls mitigate future maize losses in China.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(12). |
MLA | Zhang, Tianyi,et al."Climate effects of stringent air pollution controls mitigate future maize losses in China".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.12(2018). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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