GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.5519
A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types
Buerger, Gerd
2018-07-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2018
卷号38期号:9页码:3732-3735
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany
英文摘要

The literature contains a sizable number of publications where weather types are used to decompose climate shifts or trends into contributions of frequency and mean of those types. They are all based on the product rule, that is, a transformation of a product of sums into a sum of products, the latter providing the decomposition. While there is nothing to argue about the transformation itself, its interpretation as a climate shift or trend decomposition is bound to fail. While the case of a climate shift may be viewed as an incomplete description of a more complex behaviour, trend decomposition indeed produces bogus trends, as demonstrated by a synthetic counterexample with well-defined trends in type frequency and mean. Consequently, decompositions based on that transformation, be it for climate shifts or trends, must not be used.


英文关键词analysis climate statistical methods
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000439794000017
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36809
专题气候变化
作者单位Univ Potsdam, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Potsdam, Germany
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Buerger, Gerd. A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(9):3732-3735.
APA Buerger, Gerd.(2018).A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(9),3732-3735.
MLA Buerger, Gerd."A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.9(2018):3732-3735.
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