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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3822-7 |
Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change | |
Wilcox, Laura J.1; Yiou, Pascal2,3; Hauser, Mathias4; Lott, Fraser C.5; van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan6; Colfescu, Ioana7; Dong, Buwen1; Hegerl, Gabi7; Shaffrey, Len1; Sutton, Rowan1 | |
2018-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 50页码:3537-3555 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; France; Switzerland; Netherlands; Scotland |
英文摘要 | Summer 2012 was very wet in northern Europe, and unusually dry and hot in southern Europe. We use multiple approaches to determine whether anthropogenic forcing made the extreme European summer of 2012 more likely. Using a number of observation- and model-based methods, we find that there was an anthropogenic contribution to the extremes in southern Europe, with a qualitative consensus across all methodologies. There was a consensus across the methodologies that there has been a significant increase in the risk of hot summers in southern Europe with climate change. Most approaches also suggested a slight drying, but none of the results were statistically significant. The unusually wet summer in northern Europe was made more likely by the observed atmospheric circulation pattern in 2012, but no evidence was found for a long-term trend in circulation. |
英文关键词 | Attribution Precipitation Drought |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000429650700022 |
WOS关键词 | DROUGHT ; WEATHER ; ENGLAND ; EVENTS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/35323 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci Climate, Reading, Berks, England; 2.Univ Paris Saclay, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, UMR CEA CNRS UVSQ 8212, Gif Sur Yvette, France; 3.IPSL, Gif Sur Yvette, France; 4.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Zurich, Switzerland; 5.Met Off Hadley Ctr, FitzRoy Rd, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England; 6.Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; 7.Univ Edinburgh, Grant Inst, Sch GeoSci, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wilcox, Laura J.,Yiou, Pascal,Hauser, Mathias,et al. Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:3537-3555. |
APA | Wilcox, Laura J..,Yiou, Pascal.,Hauser, Mathias.,Lott, Fraser C..,van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan.,...&Sutton, Rowan.(2018).Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,3537-3555. |
MLA | Wilcox, Laura J.,et al."Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):3537-3555. |
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