Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE3377 |
More losers than winners in a century of future Southern Ocean seafloor warming | |
Griffiths, Huw J.; Meijers, Andrew J. S.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J. | |
2017-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 7期号:10 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | The waters of the Southern Ocean are projected to warm over the coming century, with potential adverse consequences for native cold-adapted organisms. Warming waters have caused temperate marine species to shift their ranges poleward. The seafloor animals of the Southern Ocean shelf have long been isolated by the deep ocean surrounding Antarctica and the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, with little scope for southward migration. How these largely endemic species will react to future projected warming is unknown. By considering 963 invertebrate species, we show that within the current century, warming temperatures alone are unlikely to result in wholesale extinction or invasion affecting Antarctic seafloor life. However, 79% of Antarctica's endemic species do face a significant reduction in suitable temperature habitat (an average 12% reduction). Our findings highlight the species and regions most likely to respond significantly (negatively and positively) to warming and have important implications for future management of the region. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000412007700023 |
WOS关键词 | MODELS HISTORICAL BIAS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BIODIVERSITY ; TEMPERATURE ; CMIP5 ; VULNERABILITY ; RESPONSES ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34416 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge CB3 0ET, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Griffiths, Huw J.,Meijers, Andrew J. S.,Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. More losers than winners in a century of future Southern Ocean seafloor warming[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2017,7(10). |
APA | Griffiths, Huw J.,Meijers, Andrew J. S.,&Bracegirdle, Thomas J..(2017).More losers than winners in a century of future Southern Ocean seafloor warming.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,7(10). |
MLA | Griffiths, Huw J.,et al."More losers than winners in a century of future Southern Ocean seafloor warming".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 7.10(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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