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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-018-0068-2 |
Sampling bias in climate-conflict research | |
Adams, Courtland1; Ide, Tobias1,2; Barnett, Jon1; Detges, Adrien3 | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 8期号:3页码:200-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; Germany |
英文摘要 | Critics have argued that the evidence of an association between climate change and conflict is flawed because the research relies on a dependent variable sampling strategy(1-4). Similarly, it has been hypothesized that convenience of access biases the sample of cases studied (the 'streetlight effect'(5)). This also gives rise to claims that the climate-conflict literature stigmatizes some places as being more 'naturally' violent(6-8). Yet there has been no proof of such sampling patterns. Here we test whether climate-conflict research is based on such a biased sample through a systematic review of the literature. We demonstrate that research on climate change and violent conflict suffers from a streetlight effect. Further, studies which focus on a small number of cases in particular are strongly informed by cases where there has been conflict, do not sample on the independent variables (climate impact or risk), and hence tend to find some association between these two variables. These biases mean that research on climate change and conflict primarily focuses on a few accessible regions, overstates the links between both phenomena and cannot explain peaceful outcomes from climate change. This could result in maladaptive responses in those places that are stigmatized as being inherently more prone to climate-induced violence. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426308500014 |
WOS关键词 | ORGANIZED VIOLENCE ; KENYA ; ENVIRONMENT ; DISCOURSES ; SECURITY ; WEATHER |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33892 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Melbourne, Sch Geog, Carlton, Vic, Australia; 2.Georg Eckert Inst, Braunschweig, Germany; 3.Free Univ Berlin, Dept Polit & Social Sci, Berlin, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Adams, Courtland,Ide, Tobias,Barnett, Jon,et al. Sampling bias in climate-conflict research[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2018,8(3):200-+. |
APA | Adams, Courtland,Ide, Tobias,Barnett, Jon,&Detges, Adrien.(2018).Sampling bias in climate-conflict research.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,8(3),200-+. |
MLA | Adams, Courtland,et al."Sampling bias in climate-conflict research".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 8.3(2018):200-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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