Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
Water Planning for the Uncertain Future: An Interactive Guide to the Use of Methods for Decisionmaking Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) for U.S. Bureau of Reclamation Water Resources Planning | |
admin | |
2021-03-08 | |
出版年 | 2021 |
国家 | 美国 |
领域 | 资源环境 |
英文摘要 | Water resources planning is becoming more challenging as the era of expanding supply to meet demand is replaced by integrated resources management, which accounts for limits on new sources, variability in supply and demand, and competing needs from different users. Recent climatic shifts likely will continue to affect water resources management in significant but uncertain ways. At the same time, technological advances are making water use more efficient and upending traditional water-demand forecasting approaches. To ensure that water needs are met in the coming decades, traditional planning methods based on historical system characteristics must be augmented by forward-looking approaches that stress-test assumptions and plans in a wide range of conceivable futures. In other words, approaches and methods need to account for deep uncertainty—uncertainty that cannot be predicted or well understood using standard statistical methods. |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | RAND Corporation |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/318514 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | admin. Water Planning for the Uncertain Future: An Interactive Guide to the Use of Methods for Decisionmaking Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) for U.S. Bureau of Reclamation Water Resources Planning,2021. |
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