Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2262-7 |
Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees | |
Mercure, J. -F.1,2,3; Lam, A.2,4; Billington, S.3; Pollitt, H.3 | |
2018-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 151期号:2页码:109-129 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands; England; Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | Transport generates a large and growing component of global greenhouse gas emissions contributing to climate change. Effective transport emissions reduction policies are needed in order to reach a climate target well below 2 degrees C. Representations of technology evolution in current integrated assessment models (IAM) make use of systems optimisations that may not always provide sufficient insight on consumer response to realistic policy packages for extensive use in policy-making. Here, we introduce FTT: transport, an evolutionary technology diffusion simulation model for road transport technology, as an IAM sub-component, which features sufficiently realistic features of consumers and of existing technological trajectories that enables to simulate the impact of detailed climate policies in private passenger road transport. Integrated to the simulation-based macroeconometric IAM E3ME-FTT, a plausible scenario of transport decarbonisation is given, defined by a detailed transport policy package, that reaches sufficient emissions reductions to achieve the 2 degrees C target of the Paris Agreement. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000451021600003 |
WOS关键词 | SOCIAL-INFLUENCE ; TRANSITIONS ; ENERGY ; DIFFUSION ; EMISSIONS ; IMPACT ; LAND ; TECHNOLOGIES ; DYNAMICS ; SYSTEMS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30320 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Dept Environm Sci, POB 9010, NL-6500 GL Nijmegen, Netherlands; 2.Univ Cambridge, Cambridge Ctr Environm Energy & Nat Resource Gove, David Attenborough Bldg,Pembroke St, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, England; 3.Cambridge Econometr Ltd, Cambridge CB1 2HT, England; 4.Univ Macau, Fac Social Sci Humanities & Social Sci Bldg, E21 Ave Univ, Taipa, Macau, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mercure, J. -F.,Lam, A.,Billington, S.,et al. Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,151(2):109-129. |
APA | Mercure, J. -F.,Lam, A.,Billington, S.,&Pollitt, H..(2018).Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees.CLIMATIC CHANGE,151(2),109-129. |
MLA | Mercure, J. -F.,et al."Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2 C-degrees".CLIMATIC CHANGE 151.2(2018):109-129. |
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