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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-1937-9 |
Estimating heat wave-related mortality in Europe using singular spectrum analysis | |
Merte, Steffen | |
2017-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 142 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Estimating the impact of heat waves on human mortality is key when it comes to the design of effective climate change adaptation measures. As the usual approach-relying on detailed health data in form of hospital records-is not feasible for many countries, a different methodology is needed. This work presents such an approach. Based on singular spectrum analysis and using monthly mortality rates-partly ranging back to 1960-it derives excess mortality estimates for 27 European countries. Excess mortality is then regressed against a heat wave measure in order to assess the health impacts of extreme heat. The analysis demonstrates that many European countries are severely affected by heat waves: On average, 0.61%-and up to 1.14% in case of Portugal-of all deaths are caused by extreme heat events. This finding confirms the understanding that climate change is a major environmental risk to public health: In the 27 examined European countries, over 28,000 people die every year due to exposure to extreme heat. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000401452700002 |
WOS关键词 | NEW-YORK-CITY ; TEMPERATURE ; STRESS ; HEALTH |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30239 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Columbia Univ, Grad Sch Arts & Sci, New York, NY 10027 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Merte, Steffen. Estimating heat wave-related mortality in Europe using singular spectrum analysis[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,142. |
APA | Merte, Steffen.(2017).Estimating heat wave-related mortality in Europe using singular spectrum analysis.CLIMATIC CHANGE,142. |
MLA | Merte, Steffen."Estimating heat wave-related mortality in Europe using singular spectrum analysis".CLIMATIC CHANGE 142(2017). |
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