Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-1986-0 |
Simulation model of the growth of sweet orange (Citrus sinensis L. Osbeck) cv. Natal in response to climate change | |
Sousa Pereira, Francisca Franciana; Sanchez-Roman, Rodrigo Maximo; Guadalupe Orellana Gonzalez, Alba Maria | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 143 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil |
英文摘要 | The objective of the present study was to develop a simulation model of the growth of sweet orange (Citrus sinensis L. Osbeck) cv. Natal in response to climate change based on system dynamics principles. The model was developed based on a system analysis of the factors that affect crop biomass formation. The main variables considered were atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), air temperature, transpiration, rainfall, water deficit, irrigation depth, canopy volume, and the respective interrelationships. Simulations were performed for the period from 2010 to 2100. Overall, the model results indicate that the increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations predicted in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, combined with air temperatures higher, lower, or equal to those generally occurring in natural environments, will result in higher water use efficiency by orange trees. When other factors, such as the soil water deficit, were included in the model, the water productivity was predicted to be lower in 2100 without irrigation than when irrigation was included. It is concluded that the model is suitable for determination of the effects of climate change on water use efficiency of sweet orange cv. Natal. Increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations will result in higher CO2 assimilation in orange trees and therefore in increased biomass production (g) per unit of water transpired (mm). However, this positive effect may be masked by other effects of atmospheric CO2 increases, mainly those associated with temperature. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404605300008 |
WOS关键词 | ATMOSPHERIC CO2 CONCENTRATION ; YIELD ; PHOTOSYNTHESIS ; TEMPERATURE ; IRRIGATION ; ROOTSTOCKS ; IMPACT ; TREES ; WHEAT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29826 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | UNESP FCA, Dept Engn Rural, CP 237, BR-18610307 Botucatu, SP, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sousa Pereira, Francisca Franciana,Sanchez-Roman, Rodrigo Maximo,Guadalupe Orellana Gonzalez, Alba Maria. Simulation model of the growth of sweet orange (Citrus sinensis L. Osbeck) cv. Natal in response to climate change[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,143. |
APA | Sousa Pereira, Francisca Franciana,Sanchez-Roman, Rodrigo Maximo,&Guadalupe Orellana Gonzalez, Alba Maria.(2017).Simulation model of the growth of sweet orange (Citrus sinensis L. Osbeck) cv. Natal in response to climate change.CLIMATIC CHANGE,143. |
MLA | Sousa Pereira, Francisca Franciana,et al."Simulation model of the growth of sweet orange (Citrus sinensis L. Osbeck) cv. Natal in response to climate change".CLIMATIC CHANGE 143(2017). |
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