Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2020GL089573 |
A Four‐Month Lead Predictor of Open‐Water Onset in Bering Strait | |
Xiaofan Luo; Yali Wang; Youyu Lu; Hao Wei; Wei Zhao; Hongtao Nie; Xianmin Hu | |
2020-08-25 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | This study reveals that the yearday of open‐water onset (topen) in Bering Strait can be predicted with a lead time of about 4 months using a regression equation topen = 37.45CCN + 125.2 (in Julian days), with an averaged absolute error of 5 days and the maximum error of 12 days, where CCN is the ice concentration averaged from January 16th to February 15th near Cape Navarin. This “predictor” is revealed through analyzing the solution of a regional ocean and sea‐ice model. A key factor contribution to the prediction is that the prior winter ice concentration is controlled by the sea surface temperature, and persists into the start of the melting phase near the marginal ice zone in the Cape Navarin area. As ice melts near Cape Navarin, successive melting due to solar heat absorption and lateral heat transport occurs rapidly downstream along Anadyr Current. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/293018 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xiaofan Luo,Yali Wang,Youyu Lu,等. A Four‐Month Lead Predictor of Open‐Water Onset in Bering Strait[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020. |
APA | Xiaofan Luo.,Yali Wang.,Youyu Lu.,Hao Wei.,Wei Zhao.,...&Xianmin Hu.(2020).A Four‐Month Lead Predictor of Open‐Water Onset in Bering Strait.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Xiaofan Luo,et al."A Four‐Month Lead Predictor of Open‐Water Onset in Bering Strait".Geophysical Research Letters (2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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