GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.1175/JAS-D-17-0235.1
Calculating State-Dependent Noise in a Linear Inverse Model Framework
Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian1,2; Vimont, Daniel J.1; Penland, Cecile3; Newman, Matthew4,5; Neelin, J. David2
2018-02-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
ISSN0022-4928
EISSN1520-0469
出版年2018
卷号75期号:2页码:479-496
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

The most commonly used version of a linear inverse model (LIM) is forced by state-independent noise. Although having several desirable qualities, this formulation can only generate long-term Gaussian statistics. LIM-like systems forced by correlated additive-multiplicative (CAM) noise have been shown to generate deviations from Gaussianity, but parameter estimation methods are only known in the univariate case, limiting their use for the study of coupled variability. This paper presents a methodology to calculate the parameters of the simplest multivariate LIM extension that can generate long-term deviations from Gaussianity. This model (CAM-LIM) consists of a linear deterministic part forced by a diagonal CAM noise formulation, plus an independent additive noise term. This allows for the possibility of representing asymmetric distributions with heavier-or lighter-than-Gaussian tails. The usefulness of this methodology is illustrated in a locally coupled two-variable ocean-atmosphere model of midlatitude variability. Here, a CAM-LIM is calculated from ocean weather station data. Although the time-resolved dynamics is very close to linear at a time scale of a couple of days, significant deviations from Gaussianity are found. In particular, individual probability density functions are skewed with both heavy and light tails. It is shown that these deviations from Gaussianity are well accounted for by the CAM-LIM formulation, without invoking nonlinearity in the time-resolved operator. Estimation methods using knowledge of the CAM-LIM statistical constraints provide robust estimation of the parameters with data lengths typical of geophysical time series, for example, 31 winters for the ocean weather station here.


领域地球科学
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000425753300006
WOS关键词SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE WINTER ; STOCHASTIC CLIMATE MODELS ; GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ; FLUCTUATION-DISSIPATION ; DIFFERENTIAL-EQUATIONS ; PROBABILITY DENSITY ; NON-GAUSSIANITY ; OPTIMAL-GROWTH ; EL-NINO
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
被引频次:12[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29270
专题地球科学
作者单位1.Univ Wisconsin, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Madison, WI 53706 USA;
2.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA;
3.NOAA, Phys Sci Div, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO USA;
4.Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA;
5.NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO USA
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Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian,Vimont, Daniel J.,Penland, Cecile,et al. Calculating State-Dependent Noise in a Linear Inverse Model Framework[J]. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,2018,75(2):479-496.
APA Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian,Vimont, Daniel J.,Penland, Cecile,Newman, Matthew,&Neelin, J. David.(2018).Calculating State-Dependent Noise in a Linear Inverse Model Framework.JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,75(2),479-496.
MLA Martinez-Villalobos, Cristian,et al."Calculating State-Dependent Noise in a Linear Inverse Model Framework".JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 75.2(2018):479-496.
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